Custom Search
Showing posts with label NY-23. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NY-23. Show all posts

Friday, January 29, 2010

GOP Passes On "Purity Test"...Party Rejects It




Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy






Republicans Reject "Purity Test"


Republicans averted an ideological showdown here Friday, passing a tepid party resolution in place of a candidate “purity test.”

Rejecting a plan that would have required GOP candidates to meet at least eight of 10 policy questions to receive national support and funding, the Republican National Committee unanimously approved a rule that only “urges” party leaders to support nominees who back the party’s platform.

The author of the original proposal, Indiana national Republican committeeman James Bopp, agreed to withdraw his resolution in the face of overwhelming opposition and backed the watered-down language.

Yet even after the compromise was reached, tempers flared between Republicans on opposing sides of the issue – vividly illustrating the lingering divide between the party’s conservative activist and pragmatic establishment wings.

Talking to reporters in a ballroom following the committee's general session here, where the RNC is holding its winter meeting, Bopp insisted the replacement resolution still amounted to a win for requiring candidates to toe the conservative line.

“You’ve got to determine that the candidate supports all the core principles of the Republican Party before you support them,” he said, explaining the alternate measure.

But when asked whether it was binding, Bopp was cut off by Oregon GOP Chairman Bob Tiernan, who was standing nearby the impromptu press briefing.

“That resolution passed is not binding, it’s a suggestion,” said Tiernan.

As Bopp began to again make his case for the compromise, Tiernan again interjected.

“There’s nothing mandatory or required in there,” the Oregonian noted.

“Can I answer the question, Mr. Chairman?” Bopp shot back.

Continuing, Bopp explained that he thought the RNC’s decision to, for the first time, make it party policy to urge candidates to pledge fealty to the GOP platform represented a significant step.

But Tiernan, standing just over Bopp’s shoulder, again rebutted his committee colleague.

“I’m not going to take that back and make my candidates sign it, that’s ridiculous,” Tiernan said, gesturing toward the compromise resolution in a reporter’s hand. “We don’t have a litmus test and we rejected the litmus test today.”

As Bopp continued, Tiernan again spoke up.

“There’s nothing binding in there,” said the state chair.

“Can I finish?” a plainly annoyed Bopp asked.

“Read the words,” replied Tiernan.

“Shut up,” Bopp finally said.

The Oregonian walked away moments later, but continued to express incredulity in an interview.

“I cannot believe he’s saying what he’s saying,” Tiernan said, noting that the state chairs unanimously voted on Wednesday to reject Bopp’s resolution, a symbolic move that indicated how little support there was for the binding proposal.

Calling Bopp’s original idea “nuts,” Tiernan said his committee colleague was “trying to save face” by claiming the compromise resolution was as strong as the initial idea to bar financial support from those candidates who didn’t meet 8 of 10 issue tests.

“He got flatly rejected,” Tiernan said, chalking up Bopp’s move to lingering bitterness over the year-old national committee chairman’s contest.

“There’s five or six people [on the committee] that didn’t get their candidate elected back in January and they’re still upset about it and they’re trying to micromanage the process and micromanage the chairman,” he complained.

Senior Republican officials contend that Bopp is in a distinct minority among committee members and that the vote of the state chairs made plain that there was no appetite for imposing a “purity test” on their candidates. RNC Chairman Michael Steele and many of the party’s senior-most elected officials and strategists had expressed their opposition to such a test when it was first proposed late last year. And, indeed, few in the party expected the initial resolution to even come to a vote, much less pass.

Mississippi Republican committeeman and national Resolutions Committee chair Henry Barbour expressed the sentiment of many in the party when he offered an “editorial comment” after he went through the resolutions Friday morning.

“I think we’d all prefer to see more focus on how we’re going to beat the Democrats in November then much of the noise that is coming from resolutions,” said Barbour, not explicitly singling out Bopp.

But even as GOP spirits have been lifted by victories in New Jersey, Virginia and Massachusetts, the results of a special congressional election last November in upstate New York have resurrected age-old conservative concerns about the party straying from its principles.

The GOP nominee in that New York contest, Dede Scozzafava, won national party support but was opposed by a conservative third-party candidate who drew backing from some out-of-state Republicans. Scozzafava dropped out of the race days before the election and threw her support to the Democratic nominee, Bill Owens, who then narrowly won a seat that had been previously held by Republicans since the Civil War.

The agreed-upon resolution, introduced by Texas national committeeman Bill Crocker, alludes to that race without mentioning names, stating that “many Republican leaders and Republican organizations were undermined and lost credibility as a result of the actions of such candidates."

On that point at least, Bopp and the committee seemed to agree.

“The impetus for all of these has been, from my standpoint, that Chairman Steele felt that he had to support all candidates regardless of ideology,” Bopp said of the resolutions. “And as a result we suffered almost a disgrace as a result of supporting Dede in New York-23.”



Sources: MSNBC, Politico, RNC

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Hoffman Revokes His Concession, Accuses ACORN Of Voter Fraud




















Hoffman alleges vote fraud in NY 23


Even as he faces near-impossible odds of pulling ahead in the count, Doug Hoffman announced Wednesday night that he is officially revoking his concession from Election Night, and is accusing labor unions and ACORN of stealing the election for Rep. Bill Owens (D-N.Y.).

Hoffman posted a message on his campaign site Wednesday alleging dirty tricks by Democrats, and is asking for additional campaign contributions to fund a legal challenge to the election results.

“As evidence surfaces, we find out that reported results from election night were far from accurate. ACORN and the unions did their best to try and sway the results to Obamacare supporter Bill Owens," Hoffman wrote on his campaign site. "Rest assured, they will not succeed, and I am therefore revoking my statement of concession.”

Despite his unfailing optimism, Hoffman currently faces next-to-no chance of pulling ahead, with nearly half of the absentee ballots counted. The Watertown Daily Times reports that Hoffman currently trails Owens by 2,832 votes, with 4,262 absentee ballots left to be counted, with him only picking up a net of 344 votes in the process.

Hoffman would need to win nearly 80 percent of the outstanding absentee ballots to win. St. Lawrence, Oswego, Jefferson, Clinton, Essex and Franklin counties still have to finish their absentee count – with much of the remaining votes coming from Democratic strongholds that Owens carried on Election Night.

And Hoffman's claims are being undermined by his own staff and Republican election workers in the district. His campaign adviser, Rob Ryan, told the Syracuse Post-Standard that the campaign "knows chances for a victory grow more remote with each passing day."

The Jefferson County Republican elections commissioner told the Watertown Daily Times that Hoffman's allegations were “absolutely false.”

But that's not stopping Hoffman from crying foul.

"The people of NY-23 deserve to have their ballots counted properly, but we can't let ACORN or the unions keep that from happening. They have more lawyers and more experience tampering with democracy," he wrote.

"We need to make sure that fair elections are a reality in NY-23, just like our Founding Fathers envisioned. So long as we remain the "land of the free," we MUST ensure every vote is counted. Help us today so we may be the first of many conservative victories during the Obama Regime."




View Larger Map

Sources: Politico, CBS News, Google Maps

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

N.Y. 23 Vote Recount Margin Narrows...Hoffman Unconcedes


































Not so fast: N.Y.-23 vote margin narrows



Rep. Bill Owens (D) was sworn into Congress last week after Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman conceded in New York's special election, but a report today says Owens's margin of victory is steadily narrowing.

Hoffman conceded the race after receiving news that he trailed Owens by 5,335 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted on election night. And Hoffman had barely won in Oswego County, which was thought to be a Hoffman stronghold.

But the Syracuse Post-Standard reported Thursday that votes may have been undercounted in Oswego County and other areas of the 23rd district.

More from the Post-Standard:

Now a recanvassing in the 11-county district shows that Owens’ lead has narrowed to 3,026 votes over Hoffman, 66,698 to 63,672, according to the latest unofficial results from the state Board of Elections.

In Oswego County, where Hoffman was reported to lead by only 500 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted election night, inspectors found Hoffman actually won by 1,748 votes — 12,748 to 11,000.

The new vote totals mean the race will be decided by absentee ballots, of which about 10,200 were distributed, said John Conklin, communications director for the state Board of Elections. ...

Conklin said the state sent a letter to the House Clerk last week explaining that no winner had been determined in the 23rd district, and therefore the state had not certified the election. But the letter noted that Owens still led by about 3,000 votes, and that the special election was not contested — two factors that legally allowed Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to swear in Owens on Friday.

"We sent a letter to the clerk laying out the totals," Conklin said. "The key is that Hoffman conceded, which means the race is not contested. However, all ballots will be counted, and if the result changes, Owens will have to be removed."

Owens was sworn in on Friday before the House voted on healthcare reform legislation Saturday night. Owens and Rep. John Garamendi (D-Calif.), a special election winner also sworn in last week, played a critical role in passing the legislation. The House approved the bill by a 220-215 margin with the support of one Republican, Rep. Joseph Cao (La.)

It still remains unlikely that Hoffman wins the race. With just over 10,000 ballots distributed and Hoffman still trailing by 3,000 votes, he would have to take just over 65 percent of absentee ballots. That is assuming all 10,000-plus ballots will be returned. Hoffman campaign manager Rob Ryan also acknowledged to the Post-Standard that the prospects of victory remained dim.

"When people look back at this race, it was a remote possibility that Doug Hoffman would be a contender," Ryan said. "But miracles do happen."






Doug Hoffman seriously considering 2010 run


Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, who lost the hotly contsted New York special House election, said Thursday that he "seriously considering" another run at the seat next year.

In an interview with the conservative magazine Human Events, Hoffman said the key to returning the district into Republican hands is to hold an open primary.

Hoffman challeneged Republican nominee Dede Scozzafava from the right after conservatives complained that she held too many liberal positions. Conservatives also pointed out that she was selected by less than a dozen party chairmen in the 23rd district as opposed to a primary election.

After Scozzafava dropped out three days before Election Day, Hoffman was shown to have a lead in the polls. But Democratic candidate Bill Owens won the election by a margin of 49 to 47 percent after earning Scozzafava's endorsement. Owens became the first Democrat to represent the district since the mid-19th century.

New York State GOP chairman Ed Cox told the publication he has discussed the issue of open primaries with Hoffman and is open to the idea.

Hoffman credited several national leaders and tea party activists for propelling his upstart campaign.

"They gave our campaign legs," he said. "And I think when they canvassed and won over voters, they demonstrated we are a not a 'fringe' or 'crazy' movement."

He specifically thanked ex-Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R), former Sen. Fred Thompson, Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-Minn.) and Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) for backing his campaign.

Hoffman's announcement comes on a day reports surfaced that Owens lead over Hoffman has shrunk by about 2,000 voters after recanvassing. But observers say it is unlikely the result of the election will be overturned.




View Larger Map


Sources: The Hill, Human Events, ABC News, Syracuse News, Google Maps

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

G.O.P. Headed For A Comeback Or Just A Fantasy?

GOP comeback? David Gregory, moderator of "Meet the Press", breaks down the impact of the victories in Virginia and New Jersey, as well as the Dem triumph in upstate New York.




Happy GOP boss. RNC chairman Michael Steele discusses the GOP's triumphs in Virginia and New Jersey, and responds to a grilling from Lawrence O'Donnell.



What do the Voters want?




U.S. House Republicans release their Health Care Plan.





View Larger Map


Sources: MSNBC, Google Maps

White House Steers Clear Of 2009 Super Tuesday's Dem Losses

What lessons can be learned from 2009 Super Tuesday's election Dem losses?



Axelrod reacts to Tuesday’s elections. Senior White House Adviser David Axelrod discusses whether Tuesday’s election results are a reflection of the first year of the Obama administration.



US Economy key voting issue in VA.







White House distances itself from Dem losses

The White House distanced itself Wednesday from Democratic losses in two states, saying the races for governor hinged on local issues and were not a referendum on President Barack Obama.

The Republican victories Tuesday in Virginia and New Jersey energized the opposition and are a setback for Obama as he struggles to overhaul the U.S. health care system, win passage of climate change legislation, and build political support for his handling of the war in Afghanistan.

They could also be ominous for Democrats ahead of next year's midterm elections, when a third of the Senate, all of the House of Representatives and most governorships are on the ballot.

But White House press secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters that voters in both states went to the polls to work through "very local issues that didn't involve the president."

The presidential spokesman said that voters were concerned about the economy. He said "I don't think the president needed an election or an exit poll to come to that conclusion."

Tuesday's elections marked some good news for Republicans, who lost control of Congress in 2006 and lost the White House last year. It will help them raise money and recruit candidates to prepare for next year's election.

GOP finds its voice?

Republican Party Chairman Michael Steele said the victories demonstrated "a transcendent party" that was on the move again.

Steele told CBS's "The Early Show" that he believes the Republican Party has "really found its voice again" after sustaining damaging losses last year.

In Virginia, Bob McDonnell, a former conservative state attorney general, easily defeated R. Creigh Deeds to become the state's first Republican governor in eight years. The state, once a Republican stronghold, had elected Democratic senators in 2006 and 2008. Last year, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to win the state since 1964. McDonnell won with nearly 59 percent of the vote.

McDonnell's Republican supporters were delirious. A victory party crowd screamed, waved signs and chanted "Go, Bob, go!" when he was declared the victor.

In a news conference on Wednesday, McDonnell announced his transition team, led by fellow Republican Bill Boling, who was re-elected lieutenant governor on Tuesday. McDonnell was also asked about the national implications of his victory.

“We made a decision early on after talking to people all around the state that what Virginians are interested in are jobs and the economy, kitchen table issues,” he said. “I can say that what we found is that people are less interested in partisanship than in results."

In the traditionally Democratic state of New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie, a former corruption-busting federal prosecutor, narrowly defeated Gov. Jon Corzine, a billionaire former Wall Street executive, by a margin of 49 percent to 45 percent. Independent candidate Chris Daggett had about 6 percent.

In both states, independent voters who had been crucial to Obama's victory last year voted overwhelmingly for the Republican candidate.

Democrats took some solace by winning the closely watched special election for a Republican-held vacant seat in the 23rd Congressional District in New York state that highlighted fissures between moderates and conservatives in Republican ranks.

Long before Tuesday's vote, the White House rejected suggestions that the gubernatorial elections would be tantamount to referendums on Obama. Indeed, the votes took place in just two of the 50 U.S. states. Local issues and personalities dominated campaigns.

Still, exit polls showed more than four in 10 voters in Virginia said their view of Obama factored into their choice. Those voters roughly split between expressing support and opposition for the president. The Obama factor was similar in New Jersey, though there were slightly more voters who said the president did not factor into their choice.

Obama had inserted himself into the races, campaigning for both Corzine and Deeds and appearing in their advertisements. But Obama's popularity has faded some since the early days of the presidency and clearly wasn't strong enough to make a difference in the campaigns.

That point will not be lost on moderate Democrats seeking re-election in conservative districts and states. They may be reluctant to back Obama on issues like climate change and health care if it means antagonizing local voters — especially if Obama lacks the political heft to carry them through the next election.

Interviews with voters leaving polling stations in both Virginia and New Jersey were filled with reasons for Democrats to be concerned and for Republicans to be optimistic, particularly about independents, who often determine the outcomes of U.S. elections.

Independents turn back on Dems

Independents played a critical role in Obama's victory last year. But after more than a year of recession, they fled from Democrats in the two states, where the economy trumped all other issues.

Associated Press exit polls showed that nearly a third of voters in Virginia described themselves as independents, and nearly as many in New Jersey did. They preferred McDonnell by almost a 2-1 margin over Deeds in Virginia, and Christie over Corzine by a similar margin.

Last year, independents split between Obama and Republican John McCain in both states.

Democratic Party Chairman Tim Kaine said the shift among independent voters was difficult to interpret.

"We're going to have to scratch our heads a little bit on that one," he told CNN. He added that Obama continues to enjoy even stronger support among independent voters than he has in the past.

In both states, the surveys also suggested the Democrats had difficulty turning out their base, including the large numbers of first-time minority and youth voters whom Obama attracted.

In other races Tuesday, voters in the northeastern state of Maine rejected a state law that would allow same-sex couples to wed. If supporters had prevailed, it would have marked the first time that the electorate in any state endorsed gay marriage.

With 87 percent of the precincts reporting, gay-marriage foes had 53 percent of the vote.

A number of cities selected mayors. Billionaire Michael Bloomberg won a third term as New York mayor in a closer-than-expected race against a Democratic challenger who stoked voter resentment over the way the incumbent changed the city's term-limits law so he could stay in office.

With all precincts reporting, Bloomberg defeated city comptroller William Thompson Jr. 51 percent to 46 percent.

Bloomberg called it a "hard-fought victory in a very difficult year" and promised that New Yorkers "ain't seen nothing yet" from him.

"I'm committed to working twice as hard in the next four years as I did in the past eight," Bloomberg said.




View Larger Map

Sources: MSNBC, Google Maps

White House Backlash, Voters Remorse On Super Tuesday 2009? You Betcha!...No Jobs! Bad Economy!

Fallout from the elections continue. The Washington Post’s Jonathan Capehart previews the top political headlines for the next 24 hours, including what the results from Tuesday’s elections reveal about voter preferences.




David Axelrod responds to the 2009 Super Tuesday election results.




US Economy problems, No Jobs: Key issues in the 2009 Super Tuesday elections.




G.O.P. pulls off landslide win in New Jersey (2009 Super Tuesday)





View Larger Map

Sources: MSNBC, Google Maps

Huckabee: "G.O.P. Nominating Dede Scozzafava Was A Train Wreck!"





















Huck: Dede nomination "a train wreck"


Former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 GOP presidential contender Mike Huckabee said Wednesday that Dede Scozzafava’s nomination was a “train wreck.”

Speaking about the contentious special election Tuesday in upstate New York's 23rd District, Huckabee criticized both Scozzafava, the Republican nominee, and the way in which local GOP officials gave the state assemblywoman the party nod.

“The process by which she was selected was in fact the train wreck,” he said at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast in Washington. “She was more liberal than most of the Democrats in Congress at a time when conservatives are trying to regain their voice.”

On Saturday, after sparking a conservative grassroots revolt over her liberal positions on a host of issues, Scozzafava abruptly announced she was dropping out of the race. On Sunday, she announced her endorsement of Democrat Bill Owens, a development that played a role in his victory.

Owens won with 49 percent of the vote, while Douglas Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate the GOP threw its support behind in the waning days of the campaign, had 46 percent. Scozzafava, whose name remained on the ballot, won five percent, according to unofficial results.

Like many prominent GOP figures, Huckabee took issue with the state assemblywoman’s support of gay marriage, abortion rights and her close relationship with labor — and the GOP establishment's decision to support her campaign.

“Hoffman likely would have won had he been the Republican nominee from the get go,” Huckabee said.

Huckabee said this should be a lesson for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which endorsed Florida Gov. Charlie Crist over a more conservative rival more than a year ahead of the August 2010 GOP primary.

“They should let the process carry out and not officially pick a winner,” he said.

Huckabee, who has thrown his own weight behind Crist's challenger, former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, offered him glowing praise.

“He’s the face and the future of the Republican party,” he said.




View Larger Map

Sources: Politico, Google Maps

McDonnell, Christie, Bloomberg Sweep VA, NJ & NYC...Dems Take NY-23

White House on the defensive. Politics Fix: A Hardball panel discusses Tuesday’s election results and how the White House will interpret the Democratic losses.



Understanding Christie's success.




Doing the math on Bloomberg campaign cash. Rachel Maddow marvels at the more than quarter billion dollars New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has spent over the three elections in which he's competed.




G.O.P. Wins Two Key Governors’ Races; Bloomberg Prevails in a Close Contest



Republicans swept contests for governor in New Jersey and Virginia on Tuesday as voters went to the polls filled with economic uncertainty, dealing President Obama a setback and building momentum for a Republican comeback attempt in next year’s midterm Congressional elections.

But in a closely watched Congressional race in upstate New York, a Democrat who received a late push from the White House triumphed over a conservative candidate who attracted national backers ranging from Rush Limbaugh to Sarah Palin, the former Alaska governor.

In New Jersey, a former federal prosecutor, Christopher J. Christie, became the first Republican to win statewide in 12 years by vowing to attack the state’s fiscal problems with the same aggressiveness he used to lock up corrupt politicians.

He overcame a huge Democratic voter advantage and a relentless barrage of negative commercials to defeat Jon S. Corzine, an unpopular incumbent who outspent him by more than two to one and drew heavily on political help from the White House, including three visits to the state from President Obama.

“We are in a crisis; the times are extraordinarily difficult, but I stand here tonight full of hope for the future,” said Mr. Christie, 47, who will become New Jersey’s 55th governor. “Tomorrow begins the task of fixing a broken state.”

Mr. Corzine, 62, who entered politics a decade ago after a career at Goldman Sachs, conceded at 10:55 p.m. “It has been quite a journey,” he said. “There’s a bright future ahead for New Jersey if we stay focused on people’s lives, and I’m telling you, I’m going to do that for the rest of my life.”

With 98 percent of precincts reporting, Mr. Christie had 49 percent of the vote, Mr. Corzine 44 percent.

In Virginia, where Mr. Obama was the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry the state since 1964, Robert F. McDonnell, a Republican and former state attorney general, rolled to victory over R. Creigh Deeds, a veteran state senator.

With 99 percent of precincts reporting, Mr. McDonnell had 59 percent and Mr. Deeds 41 percent. Mr. McDonnell’s victory, along with Republican victories in the races for attorney general and lieutenant governor, ended eight years of Democratic control in Richmond.

In New York’s 23rd Congressional District, Douglas L. Hoffman, a little known accountant running on the Conservative Party line, conceded after midnight to his Democratic rival, Bill Owens, after driving a moderate Republican from the race.

The three races marked the first major elections since the country plunged into the worst recession in decades, and basic economic issues — job losses, foreclosures, taxes — were front and center.

In Virginia, Mr. McDonnell, avoided divisive social issues, concentrating instead on his plans to create jobs, improve the economy and fix the state’s transportation problems.

In New Jersey, Mr. Christie held Mr. Corzine, a onetime Goldman Sachs chief executive, accountable for rising unemployment, persistent budget deficits, and his failure to gain control over skyrocketing property taxes, the nation’s highest. Voters embraced Mr. Christie even though he offered little detail about how he would fix the state’s chronic financial problems and instead appealed to voters hungry for change.

Voters in both states remained strongly supportive of President Obama, exit polls conducted by Edison Research showed, though they said that was not a factor in their decisions. But independent voters, who in New Jersey favored the president in 2008 and in Virginia split between Mr. Obama and John McCain, delivered strong margins for both Mr. Christie and Mr. McDonnell, the surveys showed.

In New Jersey, a sprawling corruption case begun by Mr. Christie, which culminated in July with the arrests of dozens of politicians and others, appeared to have taken its toll on the Democratic get-out-the-vote machinery. In Hudson County, a party bastion where a number of Democratic officials were charged, only 39 percent of registered voters cast their ballots, county officials said.

The races in New Jersey, Virginia and New York attracted intense interest because they provided the first test of President Obama’s ability to transfer the excitement he unleashed last year to other Democratic candidates.

The White House, to varying degrees, became involved in all three races, worried that defeats would undermine the public’s perceptions of the president’s political clout and his ability to pass major legislation.

With polls of the Virginia race showing Mr. Deeds falling further behind, the White House refrained from an all-out effort on his behalf, though Mr. Obama campaigned with Mr. Deeds twice.

In New York, however, the president’s aides played a pivotal role in helping Mr. Owens over the weekend, engineering a surprise endorsement from the moderate Republican who had abandoned the race under pressure from conservatives.

And in New Jersey, the White House took a firm hand in guiding Mr. Corzine’s re-election campaign, culminating in rallies featuring the president campaigning with the governor in Newark and Camden on Sunday.

The victor in Virginia, Mr. McDonnell, 55, is a social and fiscal conservative, but ran on a more moderate platform that appealed to voters in the suburbs in Fairfax County, where he was raised. By contrast, Mr. Deeds, 51, had a difficult time introducing himself to densely populated Northern Virginia.

Mr. Deeds sought to portray Mr. McDonnell as a radical conservative by publicizing his 20-year-old master’s thesis, which criticized working women and single mothers. But polls showed voters found Mr. Deeds’s commercials too negative.

The New York race emerged in the national spotlight after President Obama appointed the district’s long-serving congressman, John M. McHugh, a Republican, as secretary of the Army. Almost immediately after local Republican leaders chose Dede Scozzafava, a supporter of gay rights and abortion rights who embraced the federal stimulus package, she came under attack by conservatives as heretical.

Leading conservative voices lined up behind Mr. Hoffman, of Lake Placid, and opponents of same-sex marriage and abortion flooded the district with volunteers from across the country.

In the final days of the campaign, Ms. Scozzafava stunned her party by withdrawing from the race and then backing Mr. Owens. Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. traveled to Watertown on Monday to rally Democrats and disgruntled Republicans, but the event drew only about 200 people.

In New Jersey, Mr. Christie attacked Mr. Corzine’s economic leadership, saying he had driven jobs and residents from the state. The governor countered that Mr. Christie offered no viable plan for digging New Jersey out of its enormous financial hole.

Christopher J. Daggett, a former state and federal environmental official, made a splash with a plan to cut property taxes and a strong debate performance, but was hobbled by weak fund-raising. After reaching 20 percent in one public-opinion poll, he failed to break out of the double digits.

New Jersey was a deep-blue state, and Mr. Obama’s election boosted Democratic registration, giving the party a 700,000-vote advantage. Mr. Corzine assailed Mr. Christie, who was named United States attorney by President George W. Bush in 2001, as a philosophical clone of Mr. Bush.

The White House, viewing New Jersey as its best hope for victory, poured resources into the race. The president’s pollster overhauled the campaign’s message, White House aides reviewed Corzine commercials and attended strategy sessions, and cabinet officials lined up to appear at Mr. Corzine’s side.

But Mr. Corzine’s abiding unpopularity — his highest approval rating followed his 2007 car accident and was chalked up to pity — suggested that even “Obama surge” voters who voted for the first time last year could not tilt the outcome in the governor’s favor.

No issue loomed larger in New Jersey than the economy, which Mr. Corzine assured residents in January ranked as his No. 1, 2 and 3 priorities. But Mr. Christie never wavered from a simple strategy: making the vote a referendum on Mr. Corzine and highlighting how his supposed Wall Street financial skills had been a bust for the state.



View Larger Map

Sources: NY Times, Washington Post, MSNBC, Hardball, Rachel Maddow Show, Google Maps

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Its The Economy & Spending, Stupid!...Streetcar Experiments, Tax Increases, etc.,



























It's the spending, stupid


The race to replace Rep. John McHugh in New York’s 23rd Congressional District has been billed as an arm-wrestling match between two divergent sects of the Republican Party — Doug Hoffman representing the conservatives on one side and Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava representing the moderates on the other. Pundits who bill this race as some intra-GOP battle are dead wrong.

The race in New York is not an arm-wrestling contest at all. It is, quite simply, a referendum on this government’s spending addiction. The uproar and dissent of the people of New York’s northernmost congressional district send a clear message to Washington: it’s the spending, stupid. I am fearful that through all the spin, whether intended to claim victory or soften the blow of defeat, we in Washington will fail to hear, or to correctly interpret, the message. We must stop the reckless spending, and we must stop it now.

I know that spending is not a sexy topic, nor does it easily lend itself to endless hours of dissection by political analysts. It is apparently too simple, too straightforward and too obvious to be recognizable to many on the left and even to some on the right.

Scozzafava was unfavorable as a candidate not because she was a social moderate but because she did not have a track record of practicing fiscal discipline. The takeaway for Republicans should be that limited government and strict fiscal discipline — core principles of our party — are essential now more than ever.

There is plenty of room for moderates in the Republican Party. In fact, our caucus needs a more diverse set of voices to thrive. That is not to say that the Republican Party is without core principles. Limited government and fiscal restraint are values that conservative and moderate Republicans share regardless of past failures to put those principles into practice.

I am hopeful that moderate Republican voices will not be discouraged by the spin they see regarding the “meaning of NY-23.” Pundits and papers that describe Scozzafava’s departure as “emboldening the right” are missing the point. The voters are the ones emboldened. They are emboldened by the Obama administration’s insatiable appetite for spending. That same urge has poised Democrats to take over the health care industry, among other trillion-dollar debacles, creating yet more unsustainable expenditures.

Doug Hoffman’s ascendance is a referendum on the reckless spending of the Obama administration and the Pelosi-Reid Congress. It is a statement of the need for Congress to exhibit fiscal restraint. I hear the message loud and clear, and I hope my colleagues hear it too.





Republican John Lassiter Has Slight Lead Over Democrat Anthony Foxx in Race to Become Charlotte’s Next Mayor...No Street Car!


A recent Cornerstone Poll tested candidates for the Charlotte Mayor’s election to be held on November 3rd. With less than ten days before the election, the survey shows that Republican John Lassiter is leading Democrat Anthony Foxx 42 percent to 37 percent.

“Heading to the finish line, this race is essentially a dead heat,” said Chris Sinclair, partner with Cornerstone Solutions, LLC. While Lassiter is leading Foxx, his lead is within the margin of error of the survey.”

“Jobs and improving the economy (39 percent) and reducing taxes (23 percent) remain top issues voters would like to see the next mayor work on,” said Sinclair. “Voters are also concerned about spending, and strongly disagree with the Charlotte City Council’s recent decision to spend $4.5 million on a study for the proposed $450 million dollar street car program.”

Over 57 percent of respondents said they would be less likely to vote for a candidate running for mayor if they knew he voted in favor of spending millions on the study.

“This could be a negative for Foxx, who voted in favor of spending over $4 million on the street car study should Lassiter, who voted against spending the money, make it an issue in the reaming days of the election,” said Sinclair.

Republican John Lassiter has a solid, double-digit, lead over Democrat Anthony Foxx among Independent voters by a 39 percent to 25 percent margin.

“Independent voters will play a key role in this election, and we also are seeing these voters break to Republicans statewide and nationally,” said Sinclair. “If John Lassiter turns out his base, and holds on to Independents through Election Day, he could pull out a win over Foxx. This race boils down to turnout, and which candidate can distinguish himself from his opponent on issues important to Charlotte voters.”

Cornerstone surveyed 400 registered voters in the City of Charlotte from October 9-13, 2009. The automated phone survey’s margin of error is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Refusal to answer and weighting may introduce additional error. Cornerstone is not involved in any of the campaigns of the candidates tested in the survey.





Charlotte City Council overrides streetcar veto

Charlotte's streetcar was revived Monday night when the Charlotte City Council voted 7-4 to override Mayor Pat McCrory's veto on spending $4.5 million to design it.

After an hour-long debate, council member Warren Turner, a Democrat who represents west Charlotte, cast the deciding vote in favor.

Last month, McCrory vetoed a plan to pay URS Corp. $4.5 million to start design work on the line, which would run from Beatties Ford Road to Eastland Mall, via uptown. He argued that because of the recession, the city needed to cut its spending. He and other Republicans said it wasn't prudent to spend the money when Charlotte doesn't have a plan to pay for the line, which could cost $450 million.

But the council's Democratic majority said it was important to get the project started. They hope the Federal government will change its rules to pay for streetcar construction, and they argued by spending the money now the city would be first in line.

Council member Nancy Carter, who represents east Charlotte, said the vote was “crucial.”

She said that building the streetcar to Eastland Mall would spur efforts to redevelop the dying retail center.




View Larger Map


Sources: Politico, McClatchy Newspapers, Charlotte Observer, Cornerstone Polls, Charmeck.org, Youtube, Google Maps

Good Day For Republicans! Super Tuesday...Democrats & Independents Are Fed Up Too!

GOP unity, support from independents key today


We think tonight will be very good for Republicans.

Two of the main reasons for that are superior party unity and pretty overwhelming support from independents.

In NY-23 despite the presence more or less of two Republican candidates on the ballot, Doug Hoffman is winning 71% of the GOP vote to Bill Owens' 67% of the Democratic vote. Hoffman leads Owens 52-30 with independents.

In New Jersey Chris Christie is getting 82% of the Republican vote while Jon Corzine is at 72% of the Democratic vote. Christie leads 52-29 with independents.

In Maine 77% of Republicans support the overturn of gay marriage while 71% of Democrats are opposed to it. Independents say they'll vote for it by a 52-46 margin.

In Virginia 94% of Republicans are for Bob McDonnell to 87% of Democrats for Creigh Deeds. McDonnell is up 63-33 with independents.

In Charlotte 89% of Republicans intend to vote for John Lassiter to 81% of Democrats for Anthony Foxx. Lassiter leads 51-40 with independents.

From the high levels of party unity it's clear that Republicans voters see the path back to power will require staying on the same page. And whether it's because the Democrats have bad candidates or they're unhappy with President Obama, independents are giving the GOP very high levels of support. It should be the best Republican election night since George W. Bush got reelected.




View Larger Map

Sources: Public Policy Polling, Google Maps

Super Tuesday 2009: Voters Grade Pres. Obama's Job Performance

Off-year vote to test Pres. Obama's leadership




Can Republicans sweep 2009 mid-term elections?




New York race might split the G.O.P



Why mid-term elections are important.





View Larger Map



Sources: MSNBC, Morning Joe Show, Google Maps

Doug Hoffman vs Bill Owens (NY-23) Its Super Tuesday! Vote!
















View Larger Map


Sources: Youtube, Google Maps

Obama's Democrats Face First Big Election Test...Its Super Tuesday! Get Out & Vote!



















Pres. Obama's approval ratings have dropped again.






Obama's Democrats face first big election test


Democrats and Republicans lock horns Tuesday in three off-year elections seen as a referendum on President Barack Obama's first 12 months in the White House.

The hottest race is for governor in New Jersey, with Democrat Jon Corzine -- the incumbent governor in a heavily Democratic state -- fighting desperately to avoid defeat by former Republican prosecutor Chris Christie.

Latest polls showed them in a statistical dead heat, with some analysts saying Christie was best positioned to poach votes from supporters of an independent third candidate.

Obama spent political capital to save Corzine's flagging campaign, including a trip to New Jersey on Sunday.

Republicans, in fierce opposition to Obama's handling of the recession and reform of health care, smelled blood.

"A victory for Republicans in deep blue New Jersey would send shock waves through the country that would be felt right up to the doors of the White House," Republican blog redstate.com said.

Republicans seem likely to score a big success in another gubernatorial race in Virginia.

The swing state was captured by Obama in his election last year, the first time a Democratic presidential contender had managed to do so since 1964.

But Democratic dreams of making the southern state theirs seemed fanciful for now, with polls forecasting a heavy victory for Republican Bob McDonnell against Democrat Creigh Deeds.

The Republican Party is looking for signs the tide is turning in its favor.

But it continues to take a drubbing in polls. A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll from October 16-18 found that 36 percent of Americans had a favorable opinion of the Republican Party to 54 percent unfavorable.

The Democrats had a 53 percent favorability rating to 41 percent unfavorable.

But a Gallup poll released last week found that Obama's job approval ratings had dropped from an average 62 percent in his second quarter in office to 53 percent in his third quarter -- one of the largest drops from one quarter to the next for a US president in his first year.

Tuesday's races, analysts said, will primarily demonstrate the degree of mobilization of voters to determine whether they can count on the enthusiasm of 2008 for the midterm elections in 2010.

Perhaps the most intriguing race is a smaller contest in New York state's 23rd congressional district, where Vice President Joseph Biden stumped on behalf of the Democratic candidate Monday.

The official Republican candidate, Dede Scozzafava, withdrew over the weekend after being overwhelmed by a rival bid from Doug Hoffman of the tiny Conservative Party.

Hoffman ran to the right of the more moderate Scozzafava, winning crucial if controversial backing from top Republicans like Sarah Palin, seen as a possible presidential candidate in 2012.

The candidate has become a standard bearer for the conservative wing of the Republicans, the same group behind nationwide protests against Obama's health care and economic recovery plans.

But Hoffman's success also exposed high-level splits in the Republican Party between those urging a move to the right and those seeking a centrist approach that could lure independent voters in nationwide elections for congress and governors next year.

Underlining the bitterness of the feud, Scozzafava bucked her own party after dropping out of the race, calling on her supporters to switch allegiance to Democrat Bill Owens rather than Hoffman.

The latest Siena Research Institute poll showed Hoffman taking a 41-36 lead against Owens after Scozzafava's departure, but with 18 percent still undecided.

In New Jersey, two polls showed the race too close to call.

In Virginia, a Richmond Times-Dispatch poll showed McDonnell leading Deeds by 53-41 percent.

Also on the ballot Tuesday are mayoral posts in major cities, including New York City and Atlanta, as well as a referendum in northeastern Maine on whether or not to permit same-sex marriage.

New York's Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a Republican media tycoon, looks likely to win a third term after getting City Council to scrap a mayoral two-term limit and spending a record amount of his own money on the campaign.



Sources: Yahoo News

Monday, November 2, 2009

Boehner Regrets Endorsing Scozzafava...Challenges Nancy Pelosi









Boehner regrets Scozzafava support


House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) said today he regrets backing former GOP candidate Dede Scozzafava for New York's 23rd district race.

"This lady clearly has an agenda that's different than most Republicans," Boehner said of Scozzafava, who dropped out of the race Saturday. "She was out there promoting herself and we're doing everything we can to help Doug Hoffman in this race and we hope he wins."

Boehner's support of Scozzafava was a gamble. He donated $5,000 to her campaign and threw his weight behind her when some conservative Republicans considered her too liberal for the GOP.

"She'd fit in just fine," Boehner said in early October. "I've contributed to her election, and we're urging all of our members to help bring this race home."

But if Hoffman wins tomorrow night, Boehner and Republicans say they'll gladly accept him into the GOP conference.



Sources: Politico, CNN, TPM, Google Maps

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Scozzafava Suspends Campaign, Hoffman Gains Supporters...NY-23 Race



















(G.O.P. Nominee for the NY-23 Race drops out.)



Fred Thompson's commercial for Douglas Hoffman. FredPAC Supporters







Base sends GOP warning shot in NY-23



Republican Dede Scozzafava’s decision Saturday to drop out of the New York special congressional election gave conservatives a big win, but may present a challenge for Republicans heading into next year's mid-term elections.

The long-term implications from Scozzafava’s Halloween surprise will depend on what lessons Republicans take from the race, where Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman now seems poised to consolidate center-right support and win the seat previously held by Republican John McHugh, who resigned to become President Obama’s Secretary of the Army.

The message from national and New York conservatives is unambiguous, though: This was an angry, energized base telling the national party that an anything-for-a-majority approach by GOP leaders is unacceptable. They are serious and deeply concerned about what's going on in Washington.

While the Empire State's unique ballot rules and a Republican candidate to the left of the GOP mainstream helped open the door for Hoffman’s unlikely run, the national effect of this race may be to embolden more conservatives to take on party establishment-approved candidates who don't toe the idelogical line.

At issue is whether the GOP next year will be able to channel the electricity now coursing through the conservative grassroots to fuel Republican candidates or if the fervor that’s propelled Hoffman to the precipice of victory in a district he doesn’t even live in will continue to divide the party’s pragmatic and right wings.

“Over the long term, if we keep dividing up it may cost us,” said former Rep. Tom Davis, a Virginia moderate who helped build the GOP House majority as NRCC chairman. “You’ve got to stay under one tent and that’s got to mean accommodations on both sides.”

Former New York Rep. Tom Reynolds, also a previous NRCC Chairman, said that, inevitably, the party would need to run moderate contenders if it wanted to regain the majority.

“The question is, what is the future for moderates? We will have a future.”

“We can play checkmate forever and moderates can do next what conservatives did [to Scozzafava],” Davis added. “So this is something that the party is going to have to manage, keeping everybody under the same tent. These groups need each other.”

Davis and other Republicans said one way to prevent future splits within the party is to ensure that there is a fair and open nominating process in which voters can determine which GOP candidate they prefer.

“The age of party leaders picking people is over,” wrote former House Speaker and Scozzafava supporter Newt Gingrich in an email to POLITICO, alluding to Scozzafava’s having received the nomination by a vote of county party committee chairman.

Karl Rove said the local process in which the Republican was chosen and New York’s uniquely powerful Conservative Party made for an aberrant set of circumstances that would not likely be repeated around the country.

“When 11 people in a backroom pick among nine candidates, there are going to be hard feelings,” Rove said in a telephone interview, referring to the county chairs who tapped Scozzafava. “Most states don’t have third-parties as readily available and no other state has as cohesive and persistent a third party as the Conservative Party in New York.”

Rove noted that this is in part because in New York, ballots can be cast on third-party lines for major-party candidates who are also co-nominated by the smaller parties.

But other conservatives say the problem in both the New York contest and hampering Republicans more broadly is the tendency of GOP establishment leaders in Washington to get behind moderate candidates out of fear a purist conservative can’t win a general election.

"Hmmm, I thought the Era of Reagan was over?” wrote Rush Limbaugh in an email to POLITICO. “Who was it that said that? Oh yeah, the smart people on our side who told us the only way we could win was with moderate-liberal candidates like Scozzafava.”

Erick Erickson, who runs the popular conservative blog RedState, predicted future family fights and put the blame squarely at the feet of national party leaders, who he noted spent nearly $1 million to bolster a candidate who quit before Election Day.

“Thanks to Pete Sessions, Chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, not Doug Hoffman, there is a new inspiration for a third-party movement to challenge the GOP – a movement that will only help Democrats,” Erickson wrote Saturday. “Good men in the GOP are now going to be challenged in primaries because of the ill-will the NRCC has generated in New York’s 23rd Congressional District.”

Democrats, while acknowledging the difficulty they’d now have in picking up the New York seat on Tuesday, were quick to claim that Scozzafava’s decision proved that the GOP is split and leaderless.

“During August, Republicans thought they’d be able to harness the energy of the far-right, but the opposite has happened,” DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen told POLITICO in a phone interview. “The far-right, tea-bag party is leading there Republican Party around by the nose.”

Van Hollen cited the New York race as “exhibit A” that the GOP has been taken over by the right-wing.

“The Republican candidate was effectively forced out of the race by a third-party candidate funded by the far-right,” he said, adding: “If we see this same phenomenon play out then it certainly could help Democratic candidates next year because we’d be facing a much more divided opposition.”

Democrats also moved Saturday to cast Scozzafava’s move as a sign that centrists had no place in the GOP.

“The true leaders of the Republican Party like Sarah Palin, Glenn Beck and Tim Pawlenty have said to all moderates and independents: ‘When it comes to being part of our party you need not apply,’” said DNC communications director Brad Woodhouse, citing individuals who got behind Hoffman.

Another top Democratic strategist said, “It's clear that even the GOP conference isn't united around winning, there are ideological breaks,” noting that the NRCC had tapped about a quarter of their cash in the bank for a candidate who didn’t even have endorsements from a chunk of the House GOP.

“The Republicans now have to deal with an empowered, emboldened, and well-funded far-right,” said this Democrat.

Asked if they were worried about what the New York example may mean for other primaries next year, a House GOP Leadership aide involved in the special election said: “Is there concern? There is always concern.”

But, this official said, the party had been careful to select conservative contenders in most cases.

“Of our 45 candidates, I would note that most are conservatives.”

And Rove made the case that the sort of tea-party activists who flocked to New York’s sprawling North Country to aid Hoffman are not composed of right-wingers who spend their days reading conservative blogs and closely following politics.

“They’re really wired up right now about deficits, spending and the expansion of government,” he said. “A great many may identify as conservatives, but they don’t fit the traditional model. The thing that makes them unpredictable is that they’re mostly fresh actors on the scene.”

So, Rove said, the GOP must find “candidates who can channel anti-Obama, anti-Washington sentiment in constructive ways.”

He suggested having to choose between ideological purity and projecting a welcoming image to independents represented a false choice.

Rove cited Virginia Republican gubernatorial nominee Bob McDonnell, who enjoys a commanding lead in the polls in a state Obama captured last year, as the type of candidate who has been able to tap into the populist frustrations on the right and center-right without alienating the sort of pivotal moderates who can often swing elections.

“He’s a conservative but has offered a positive, optimistic vision of small government,” Rove said. “And he has come across with a pleasing, moderate demeanor.”

Even as they take stock of what Scozzafava’s withdrawal means, most Republicans are seeing only upside in what seems likely to happen next week in the three closely-watched off-year races, all in localities that Obama won last year, Virginia, New Jersey and New York-23.

“The big story Tuesday will be the collapse of the Democratic brand in three states as Democratic nominees run ten to twenty points behind Obama’s vote a year ago,” wrote Gingrich, who came under a wave of criticism for his support of Scozzafava.

But even as they start to savor what could be a clean sweep, Republicans also must be mindful of what a Hoffman win could set off.

“I think it will empower tea party activists” to look for moderate scalps in other districts,” fretted one senior GOP strategist with national campaign experience. “The question is, Will we go through a period in the party where a great purge begins?” this strategist asked. “If it spreads into that, this will be a very bad day.”

Davis said the party was now confronted with what he termed “a good problem to have.”

“We need to capture this lightning in a bottle,” he said of the conservative energy. “They’re now the energy base of the party. But you can’t let them run the show or you’re going to lose all the independents.”





Scozzafava bows out of NY-23 race


Republican Dede Scozzafava announced Saturday that she is suspending her campaign in the Nov. 3 House special election in New York, a dramatic development that increases the GOP's chances of winning the contentious and closely-watched race.

"In recent days, polls have indicated that my chances of winning this election are not as strong as we would like them to be. The reality that I've come to accept is that in today's political arena, you must be able to back up your message with money—and as I've been outspent on both sides, I've been unable to effectively address many of the charges that have been made about my record,” she said in a statement.

“It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican.”

Her decision came as a Siena Research Institute poll released Saturday confirmed that her support has all but collapsed over the last month. In her statement, Scozzafava acknowledged that while her name will continue to appear on the ballot, “victory is unlikely.”

The Siena poll conducted Oct. 27-29, in line with other recent polls, showed Democrat Bill Owens holding a razor-thin lead over Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman, 36 percent to 35 percent.

Scozzafava trailed far behind at 20 percent, with 9 percent of voters still undecided.

The National Republican Congressional Committee will now be throwing its support to Hoffman, after endorsing Scozzafava and deriding the Conservative Party candidate in statements throughout much of the race.

The fortunes of Scozzafava and Hoffman had nearly flipped over the last month as national attention focused on the upstate New York race, which has become a rallying point for grassroots conservatives.

Conservatives have asserted that Scozzafava, a GOP establishment-backed state assemblywoman who supports abortion rights and gay marriage, is far too liberal for them to support and numerous prominent GOP figures have recently endorsed Hoffman.

Scozzafava, who in the beginning of the month was the frontrunner with a 7-point lead over Owens in an Oct. 1 Siena poll, saw her support crater while Hoffman surged from a distant third place to a virtual tie in the polls with Owens.

With Scozzafava slipping in the polls and her candidacy dividing the GOP, national Republicans began hedging their bets on her campaign and have recently signaled that they would no longer actively resist Hoffman’s candidacy.

National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Pete Sessions (R-Texas) told POLITICO Thursday that he would welcome Hoffman “with open arms.” On Friday, Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele told POLITICO that a Hoffman victory is essentially a Republican Party victory.

“You’ve got two Republicans running in that race. My upside is that one of them will likely win,” Steele said. “We want to be supporting the one that wins.”

“He would be very welcome, with open arms,” Sessions told POLITICO in an interview off the House floor.

The decision to suspend her campaign is a boost for Hoffman, who already had the support of 50 percent of GOP voters, according to a newly-released Siena poll, and is now well-positioned to win over the 25 percent of Republicans who had been sticking with Scozzafava.

Republicans applauded Scozzafava’s decision Saturday.

“Dede Scozzafava has placed her Party and her principles over politics and position for years,” said New York GOP chairman Ed Cox in a statement. “For those who know her, her actions today come as no surprise because they show real leadership. It is testament to her character and strength under difficult circumstances.”

Susan B. Anthony List President Marjorie Dannenfelser, whose group has organized an independent pro-Hoffman grassroots ground program and spent over $125,000 in the race said, "Dede Scozzafava’s courage and strength allowed her to make the choice to let the strongest candidate in her party move forward, and to serve the voters of the 23rd District.''

The NRCC released a joint statement from House Republican Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio), House Republican Whip Eric Cantor (R-Va.) and Sessions, indicating that the party will now throw its support behind Hoffman.

"As the House stands on the cusp of the forthcoming vote on a trillion-dollar healthcare reform measure, it is vital that we unify behind a candidate that will support reining in massive government spending and work with Republicans in Congress to restore fiscal sanity and propose thoughtful measures to get our nation’s economy on the right track," the statement read. “With Assemblywoman Scozzafava suspending her campaign, we urge voters to support Doug Hoffman’s candidacy in New York’s 23rd Congressional District.

“We look forward to welcoming Doug Hoffman into the House Republican Conference as we work together for the good of our nation.”

One Republican strategist familiar with the race said Scozzafava’s departure from the race significantly increased the GOP’s chances of holding the seat left vacant by the resignation of GOP Rep. John McHugh.

“Republicans and Independents will now be able to unite behind one candidacy. Dede's last base of support was among Republican loyalists. They likely overwhelmingly switch to Hoffman,” the strategist said. “As a practical matter, this lets the GOTV operations of two campaigns merge into one - makes a huge mechanical difference in a special election.”

Hoffman echoed that sentiment in a statement Saturday.

“This morning’s events prove what we have said for the last week; this campaign is a horserace between me and Nancy Pelosi’s handpicked candidate, Bill Owens. At this moment, the Democratic Party, the Working Families Party, ACORN, Big Labor and pro-abortion groups are flooding the district with troops and they are flooding the airwaves with a million dollars worth of negative ads. They are throwing mud; they are trying to stop me,” he said. “It’s time for us to send a message to Washington—we’re sick and tired of big-spending, high-taxing, career politicians and by voting for me on Tuesday you will send that message loud and clear.”

Recognizing that a two-candidate race increased the chances that Republicans would hold on to the seat, a senior Democrat said the party will work to get Scozzafava to endorse Owens in an attempt to pick up some of her moderate supporters.

"If we don't get her on board we lose," said the Democrat.

Another senior Democrat said it the situation is still too fluid to come to any conclusions.

"Unpredictable this late – she's a very well known elected official and she remains on the ballot so she'll likely pull some votes but it's hard to say how many," the official said.




A profile in courage, it isn't - GOP latecomers hop on Hoffman bandwagon

As conservative activists scored a political scalp, mainstream Republicans wasted no time in grasping at the coat tails of Conservative Doug Hoffman.

The much-watched off-year special election in upstate New York's 23rd Congressional District that had Republicans scrambling to pick the right side turned into a stampede rightward Saturday, as stragglers rushed to endorse Hoffman after Republican Dede Scozzafava suspended a campaign that she appeared to have little chance of winning.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who’d previously warned that backing Hoffman in the NY-23 House race amounted to a “purge” of the GOP, told POLITICO Saturday morning that he was now endorsing the conservative, "and believe[s] everyone who wants to create jobs with lower taxes and to control spending and deficits should vote for Hoffman Tuesday."

The National Republican Congressional Committee, which had slammed the Conservative contender in a seemingly endless series of press releases, declared that they too now “look forward to welcoming Doug Hoffman into the House Republican Conference as we work together for the good of our nation.”

Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele, who said in recent weeks that he was standing by Scozzafava, announced that “effective immediately, the RNC will endorse and support the conservative candidate in the race, Doug Hoffman,” and that he was re-gearing the party apparatus to boost Hoffman in the final days of the contest.

All three statements came within an hour of Scozzafava’s announcement.

Former Arkansas gov. and 2012 GOP hopeful Mike Huckabee — who alienated many conservative backers of his 2008 White House bid by conspicuously declining to throw his support behind Hoffman — followed with a muted statement, written in the third person and signed Huck PAC: "We commend Dede Scozzafava for stepping aside and in light of her very unselfish announcement, we join the RNC and other Republicans in urging support for Doug Hoffman."

Saturday’s rush caps a week of late-in-the-race Hoffman endorsements from establishment Republicans seizing the chance to score points with conservative purists, and back a winner at the same time.

While Hoffman’s early supporters cast their endorsements as a decision to place principle above party, for many – especially those seeking higher office – the conservative vs. moderate proxy battle provided a low-risk opportunity to back a candidate surging in the polls while at the same time banking capital with right-wingers.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, facing a heated challenge from Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, declared in an e-mail to his supporters this week, “Electing Doug Hoffman will send a clear message that cannot be denied: conservatives must stand on principle.”

Oklahoma Rep. Mary Fallin, competing for the GOP nod in her run for governor, wrote Hoffman this week that his campaign, “has reminded Americans everywhere that principles come before party affiliation.”

In his Hoffman endorsement, Kansas Rep. Todd Tiahrt, engaged in a heated Senate GOP primary against fellow Rep. Jerry Moran, announced, “The Republican Party is either going to return to the party of fiscal responsibility and consistent conservative principles as it was under Ronald Reagan or it will continue down the path of ‘sporadic moderation.’”

Not to be outdone, Moran gave Hoffman his seal of approval a day later.

“It’s all about self-interest in most cases,” explained University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato. “NY-23 has become a powerful symbol for the right, and any candidate who is trying to stay out is finding neutrality to be as difficult as nation-states did in World War II.”

Sabato compared the party’s backlash to its own nominee to the early 1990s response to David Duke’s runs, when Republicans in Louisiana and nationally turned their back on the white supremacist.

“This is the most remarkable aspect of the entire contest,” Sabato said. “There is a national footrace by elected Republican officials and candidates to abandon the official GOP congressional nominee.”

“Everyone is trying to use their endorsements for political purposes,” added Carl Forti, a veteran GOP operative who has upstate New York ties. “It’s like, who’s going to be the last guy to the party?”

As polls showed Hoffman pulling ahead and Scozzafava at best a spoiler, latecomers raced to latch on to the new frontrunner's coattails. Former New York Governor George Pataki, a moderate Republican rumored to be considering a senate run next year, announced his support in a tepid statement on Friday, less than 24 hours before Hoffman cleared the right side of the field.

Former congressman and GOP gubernatorial hopeful Rick Lazio, who’s best known for his spectacularly botched 2001 senate run against Hillary Clinton, joined the Hoffman camp after the question was resolved – about an hour after Scozzafava announced she was suspending her campaign.

Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who irked conservatives earlier this month, when he admitted he hadn’t been following the New York race, reversed course earlier this week, saying Hoffman “understands the federal government needs to quit spending so much, will vote against tax increases, and protect key values like the right to vote in private in union elections.”

Also belatedly picking a side this past week were two House Republicans facing primaries from the right and looking to cover that flank: Missouri Rep. Todd Akin and Indiana Rep. Mark Souder.

“I realize that, to capture the majority in Congress, not all Republicans can be as conservative as I am,” said Souder, who is facing a challenge from a conservative, tea party-inspired opponent.

But, Souder said, “Not all Republicans in Congress feel power is more important than basic principles.”

“They’re trying to brand themselves nationally and ingratiate themselves with that wing of the party,” said Tom Davis, a former chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee.

“It’s not brave politics,” one former New York GOP leader said this week. “It makes for an easy call for politicians to jump on the conservative nominee.”

New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, a moderate Republican who is running for Senate and who is facing the prospect of a challenge from the right, also eventually endorsed Hoffman, saying Friday that, “we must have pro-growth economic policies that will create jobs."

Even as their campaign encountered strong resistance from conservatives, Scozzafava allies say they were taken aback by the hemorrhaging of GOP establishment support to Hoffman.

“It’s almost like we have two parties now. Is the NRCC going to be relevant in the future?” one person close to the Scozzafava campaign remarked late this week. “This is the strangest thing I have ever seen.”

“I don’t know what to make of this thing, to be honest. There are so many angles to this thing. It’s wild.”

But as Republicans broke ranks to back Hoffman, there is significant concern within the party leadership over the precedent it sets for potential disunity within GOP in the future.

“If there is anything to be lost, it would be within the party structure,” said Forti. “This is setting a precedent for the party for the future which will allow the party to be torn apart.”

“It is every man for themselves,” lamented another Republican operative. “There is clearly no cohesion.”




Where Do Scozzafava's Voters Go?

Pollster.com’s Mark Blumenthal flags a previously unreported crosstab from the Siena Research Institute survey: 64 percent of Scozzafava voters in the survey identified as Republicans, while only 19 percent identified with the Democratic party.

As Blumenthal notes, that makes it awfully tough for Owens to pick up much support in the aftermath of Scozzafava's campaign suspension. The Republicans who stuck with Scozzafava in the Siena survey fit into three rough categories: 1) Watertown-area voters who she’s represented in the state Assembly and were with her the whole way; 2) party-line voters who stuck with her out of devotion to the GOP; 3) true Rockefeller Republicans who blanche at Hoffman’s conservatism.

Of those three categories, Owens is unlikely to make inroads with the first two groups. His only hope is to peel off the moderates who view Hoffman as too conservative – and it seems like they’re not thrilled with Democrat Bill Owens, either. The Siena poll showed Owens viewed as unfavorably among Scozzafava supporters (50 percent unfavorable) as Hoffman was (57 percent unfavorable).

So with Republicans now rallying around Conservative party candidate Doug Hoffman, and the vast majority of Scozzafava backers associating themselves with the GOP, it’s a challenging road to victory for Owens.




View Larger Map

Sources: Politico, MSNBC, National Journal, Pollster.com, Wikipedia, Youtube, Google Maps