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Showing posts with label War Strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label War Strategy. Show all posts

Monday, August 21, 2017

TRUMP ANNOUNCES USA WILL RESUME WAR IN AFGHANISTAN (DEAR GOD, LET US PRAY FOR ALL US MILITARY TROOPS)





TRUMP ANNOUNCES USA WILL RESUME WAR IN AFGHANISTAN:

DEAR GOD HELP US.

PLEASE PRAY FOR OUR U.S. MILITARY TROOPS.


Sources: MSN, RT, Youtube


*****Trump Sets U.S. Strategy for Afghan War


President Trump put forward on Monday a long-awaited strategy for resolving the nearly 16-year-old conflict in Afghanistan, but he failed to specify either the number of troops that would be committed, or the conditions by which he would judge the success of their mission there.

In a nationally televised prime-time speech to troops at Fort Myer, Va., Mr. Trump said there would be no “blank check” for the American presence in Afghanistan. But in announcing his plan, Mr. Trump embraced deepened American involvement in a military mission that has bedeviled his predecessors and that he once called futile.

“My original instinct was to pull out, and historically I like following my instincts,” Mr. Trump said. “But all my life, I’ve heard that decisions are much different when you sit behind the desk in the Oval Office — in other words, when you’re president of the United States. So I studied Afghanistan in great detail and from every conceivable angle.”

Mr. Trump campaigned for president promising to extricate the United States from foreign conflicts, and many of the steps that he announced Monday have been proposed by previous administrations.

He portrayed the strategy as a stark break with the Obama administration, arguing that while his predecessor set artificial timetables for American involvement in Afghanistan, his strategy would be a comprehensive, conditions-based regional approach that would aim for a political solution there. Part of the plan is to deploy more American troops to Afghanistan to continue to train Afghan forces there, with the goal of persuading the Taliban — which have recently gained substantial ground in the war — that they could not win on the battlefield.

“The consequences of a rapid exit are both predictable and unacceptable,” Mr. Trump said. “A hasty withdrawal would create a vacuum that terrorists, including ISIS and Al Qaeda, would hastily fill.”

Mr. Trump said that the United States would put significant new pressure on Pakistan to crack down on the terrorist sanctuaries that line its border with Afghanistan. His comments could open a turbulent new chapter in relations with Pakistan, which has veered since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks from being an ally in the fight against terrorism to a haven in which Osama bin Laden hid out until he was killed in 2011.

By refusing to place a number on troops or to specify benchmarks for success, Mr. Trump was in essence shielding himself for potential backlash from his political base and from the American public, which has grown weary of the war.

The president heaped contempt on his predecessor’s strategy, promising that he would avoid President Barack Obama’s mistakes. But in substance, Mr. Trump’s strategy was not all that different, relying on a mix of conventional military force and diplomatic pressure on Pakistan. One administration official conceded that there was to be no major change in the mix of American forces operating in Afghanistan, and that the priorities would remain training Afghan forces and conducting counterterrorism operations.

Mr. Trump spoke of launching an intensive diplomatic and economic initiative, but he does so from a position of acute weakness at the State Department, which has yet to place an ambassador in Kabul, Afghanistan’s capital, and scrapped the office of the special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan.

An estimated 8,400 American troops are currently stationed in Afghanistan, most assigned to an approximately 13,000-strong international force that is training and advising the Afghan military. About 2,000 American troops are tasked with carrying out counterterrorism missions along with Afghan forces against groups like the Islamic State’s affiliate.

In recent days, Trump administration aides hinted that the president’s strategy would include new steps to pressure neighboring Pakistan to shut down the sanctuaries there for the Taliban and other militants, a goal Republican and Democratic administrations have pursued for years with little success.

Trump administration officials have also suggested that continued American military involvement and economic assistance in Afghanistan would be contingent on steps by the country’s leaders in Kabul to rein in rampant corruption — another Western aspiration that has repeatedly been dashed in the country, parts of which have been largely lawless for decades.

The move comes with steep risks for Mr. Trump, potentially increasing American troops without yielding many military gains in a conflict that has proved intractable. Still, United States military and intelligence officials have argued that doing nothing in Afghanistan, where the Taliban are increasingly gaining ground, is not an option. In February, Gen. John W. Nicholson, the commander of the American-led international force in Afghanistan, told Congress that the United States and its NATO allies were facing a “stalemate.”

There were potential political perils for Mr. Trump, as well. At least two Republicans who challenged Mr. Trump last year for the presidential nomination issued statements hours before his speech to oppose extending the war in Afghanistan in any way.

“Sixteen years and the lives of over 2,000 American heroes are more than enough of a price to have paid to eradicate a terrorist sanctuary,” Gov. John Kasich, Republican of Ohio, who has positioned himself as a possible primary race candidate in four years, said in a statement. “America cannot afford to make an open-ended commitment of further lives and treasure to the improbable proposition of building a cohesive nation in Afghanistan.”

Senator Rand Paul, Republican of Kentucky, flatly opposed a troop increase. “The mission in Afghanistan has lost its purpose, and I think it is a terrible idea to send any more troops into that war,” he said in a statement.

The Afghanistan strategy was a consequential moment after a tumultuous week for Mr. Trump, whose response to racially charged violence in Charlottesville, Va., raised questions about his ability to shoulder the responsibilities of a president. Having missed an opportunity to calm the tensions after that unrest, he faced the challenging task of marshaling public support for a potentially bloody military mission.

Mr. Trump used the beginning of his speech to offer the message of unity and national healing that he was criticized for failing to communicate after the Charlottesville violence, saying Americans should live the example of those who put aside racial, ethnic and religious differences to serve together on behalf of the nation.

“We cannot remain a force for peace in the world if we are not at peace with each other,” Mr. Trump said. “Let us make a simple promise to the men and women we ask to fight in our name, that when they return home from battle, they will find a country that has renewed the sacred bonds of love and loyalty that unite us together as one.”

Mr. Trump had said little about Afghanistan, either since taking office or during his presidential bid, although his “America First” campaign message envisioned a turn away from foreign military intervention and a refocusing on addressing challenges at home.

As a private citizen, he was actively hostile to American involvement in Afghanistan, dwelling on the high cost of the lengthy conflict and suggesting there was no way for the United States to succeed. In a 2012 post on Twitter, Mr. Trump questioned why American forces continued to train Afghans, writing, “Afghanistan is a complete waste. Time to come home!”

The president’s ambivalence about the mission in Afghanistan was on display in June, when he outsourced to the Pentagon the task of announcing that he had granted Mr. Mattis authority to send 3,900 troops to the war, but said nothing about it himself. On Monday, by contrast, Mr. Trump announced his new strategy with great fanfare, choosing a military backdrop and the attention-grabbing format of a presidential address to sketch out for the first time how he saw the mission.

In announcing his plan, Mr. Trump became the third consecutive American president to be confounded by the conflict in Afghanistan, now the longest military operation in the history of the United States.

Mr. Obama, who campaigned for president pledging to end the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, eventually agreed to send tens of thousands more troops to carry out an ambitious and expensive counterinsurgency mission that involved trying to win over Afghans by building roads, bridges, schools and a well-functioning government.

Mr. Trump’s decision was expected to be a victory of sorts for Mr. Mattis and Lt. Gen. H. R. McMaster, the national security adviser, who had argued of dire consequences if the United States did not act quickly to stabilize Afghanistan. The Pentagon had long pointed to the return of extremists in Iraq shortly after the American military withdrew forces after that eight-year war, and warned that any advances in Afghanistan could similarly be lost without a stable troop presence.

The strategy was announced the week after Mr. Trump dismissed his chief strategist, Stephen K. Bannon, who had argued forcefully against sending more troops. Mr. Bannon had warned doing so would be a slippery slope toward nation-building, and agitated for alternatives, including using private contractors instead of American forces.

As such, the strategy raised new political perils for the president as it risks alienating core supporters who are leery of United States’ involvement in faraway conflicts, and disdainful of spending taxpayer dollars on things that do not directly benefit Americans.
In the hours before Mr. Trump’s speech, Breitbart News, the conservative news site to which Mr. Bannon returned after his departure from the White House, published several articles critical of the president’s anticipated announcement, one of them suggesting that he was proposing “an extension of the failed status quo.”

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

TRUMP WANTS TO CONTROL MIDDLE EAST OIL FIELDS, BOMB ISIL & REBUILD U.S. MILITARY



2016 GOP Presidential front runner DONALD TRUMP strongly believes rebuilding America's gutted Military and taking control of Oil fields which ISIL has stolen, are the only ways to effectively Defeat ISIL.


DONALD TRUMP WANTS TO TAKE CONTROL OF MIDDLE EAST OIL FIELDS, BOMB ISIL & REBUILD U.S. MILITARY:


TRUMP'S 2016 CAMPAIGN TRAIL MILITARY STRATEGY.


Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has elaborated on his strategy to defeat the terrorist group ISIS at a memorable rally in Iowa and during an interview Thursday on CNN.

During a speech at Decker Auditorium in Fort Dodge, Iowa, Trump said he would go after ISIS-controlled oil fields and "bomb the s--- out of 'em," to loud applause.

"ISIS is making a tremendous amount of money because they have certain oil camps, certain areas of oil that they took away," Trump said.

He continued: "They have some in Syria, some in Iraq. I would bomb the s--- out of 'em. I would just bomb those suckers. That's right. I'd blow up the pipes. ... I'd blow up every single inch. There would be nothing left. And you know what, you'll get Exxon to come in there and in two months, you ever see these guys, how good they are, the great oil companies? They’ll rebuild that sucker, brand new — it'll be beautiful."

Trump described a similar strategy to CNN's Anderson Cooper, who asked Trump whether he might be destroying the wealth of Iraq if he went after the country's oil fields.
"There is no Iraq," Trump responded. "Their leaders are corrupt."

Cooper said Iraqis might disagree with him, but Trump pressed on.

"Excuse me, there are no Iraqis. They're broken up into so many different factions," he said.

Cooper also asked whether the US would need troops on the ground to protect the oil fields that Trump would rebuild after bombing ISIS out of them. Trump said he would put a "ring" of troops around the fields.

"You put a ring around them," Trump said of the oil fields. "You put a ring."
But if Trump had his way, the US wouldn't be involved in these conflicts at all.

"I would love not to be over there," Trump said. "That’s not our fight — that's other people's fights."

ISIS, also known as the Islamic State, makes a glut of money from oil, but that's far from its only revenue source. Experts say much of ISIS' money comes from extortion and pillaging — essentially ripping off the people and institutions in territory it has seized.

Still, oil revenues make up a significant portion of ISIS' funding. Local sources, oil experts, and Western intelligence officials told the Financial Times this year that ISIS ran "a sprawling operation almost akin to a state oil company that has grown in size and expertise despite international attempts to destroy it."

Sources estimate that Deir Ezzor, the Syrian province that holds some of the most fruitful oil fields under ISIS control, produces 34,000 to 40,000 barrels of oil each day.

Several other oil fields the group controls produce 200 to 17,000 barrels per day, the FT found. The barrels sell for $20 to $45, depending on where they came from.

ISIS sells mostly to "independent traders" who then either sell to other traders or take the crude to refineries or local oil markets. The traders make a profit of about $10 a barrel, according to the FT.

Though ISIS might be making millions on oil now, it's unlikely that the group can keep up at its current pace.

ISIS is reportedly already struggling to keep up the aging infrastructure that allows the group to extract and sell oil.
The FT reported that ISIS doesn't have the technology or equipment to maintain the oil fields the group controls.

Production is reportedly down in those fields since ISIS took over.

Credits:  Business Insider, CNN, YouTube

Saturday, February 7, 2015

Kayla Jean Mueller: Is She Dead Or Alive?? Many Believe ISIL Murdered Her Months Ago










‪#‎KaylaJeanMueller‬

‪#‎ISIL‬ CLAIMS JORDAN KILLED U.S. HOSTAGE KAYLA JEAN MUELLER:

****HOWEVER I BELIEVE ISIL MURDERED KAYLA MONTHS AGO.

~ THE GOP IS SALIVATING AT THE START OF WORLD WAR 3 BUT COOLER HEADS MUST PREVAIL BECAUSE ISIL LEADERS ARE VERY INTELLIGENT.

~ WILL THOUSANDS OF ENLISTED TROOPS WILL BE SACRIFICED TO ISIL BY CONGRESS FOR OIL MONEY & WAR PROFITEERING CONTRACTS IN THE NAME OF "NATIONAL SECURITY"??

26-year-old American aid worker Kayla Jean Mueller of Prescott, Ariz., who was taken captive by ISIL in August 2013, is now believed to be DEAD.

ISIL leaders claims she was recently Killed by Airstrikes fired by the Jordanian Military.

I along with many other American citizens believe ISIL's version of Kayla's Death is just more Terrorist PROPAGANDA and that Kayla was most likely Murdered Months ago by ISIL members.

Considering the fact she was a Young, WHITE Woman, ISIL leaders probably Raped her and passed her around.

One can only imagine the Physical, Emotional & Mental Atrocities Kayla Suffered before being Murdered.

Kayla should be Admired for Courageously wanting to help the Syrian Refugees but when U.S. Aid Workers travel to a WAR Zone in the Middle East, being Captured & Murdered by AL QAEDA Terrorists such as ISIL, is a Risk they must Consider.

This includes U.S. Aid Workers who are WOMEN.

Due to ISIL's reign of Terror, GOD only knows how Brutally Kayla may have been Murdered.

My Heart goes out to Kayla's Mother and I offer my deepest Condolences to Kayla's Family.

So does news of Kayla's Cold-Blooded Murder mean Congress or Pres OBAMA should RUSH into starting WORLD WAR THREE??

No it does NOT!

When dealing with such Cold-Blooded TERRORISTS as ISIL, Cooler Heads must Prevail amongst the ranks of American Leadership.

ISIL Leaders know the Middle East's Blueprint like the back of their hands and they are very Intelligent people, who have diligently Studied how the U.S. Military operates in a Combat situation.

To assume the U.S. Military can Defeat ISIL in a Combat situation in the Vast Middle East would be a Foolish Presumption, and an Act of GENOCIDE against U.S. Military Armed Forces.

ISIL wants to leads the U.S. Military into one Large, Deadly Booby-Trap.

Killing thousands & thousands of U.S. Military Troops is a JIHAD Dream for ISIL members.

ISIL has created a Different type of WAR in the Middle East which now requires the use of more U.S. Military INTELLIGENCE, versus just the use of more Boots-on-the-Ground.

Given these Facts, it is unfortunate that many GOP members of Congress don't care about sending more U.S. Military Troops into another Endless Middle East WAR which can Not be won in a Combat theater.

So why don't most GOP members of Congress care about sending more U.S. Military Troops into another Endless Middle East WAR which can Not be achieved in a Combat theater?

***Two Reasons:

#1) OIL Money & Huge WAR Profiteering Contracts.

I would hope GOP members of CONGRESS would Not be so Greedy as to Intentionally Sacrifice U.S. Military Troops to ISIL in the name of "NATIONAL SECURITY", for more OIL Money & WAR Profiteering Contracts.

CONGRESS has enough MILLIONAIRES who became Super Wealthy via Middle East WAR Profiteering Contracts!

#2) Many of the Enlisted U.S. Military Troops who will be Sacrificed to ISIL will be BLACK & LATINO Enlisted Soldiers and BLACK & LATINO Commissioned Officers.

I doubt seriously if any Enlisted U.S. Military Troops Killed by ISIL will come from the branches of the NAVY or AIR FORCE.

Why?

Because the Majority of all NAVY & AIR FORCE members are WHITE.

I did NOT say there are NO BLACK & LATINO members serving in the NAVY or AIR FORCE.

I stated the Majority of all NAVY & AIR FORCE members serving in those branches are indeed WHITE.
While the Majority of all ARMY & MARINE members are BLACK and LATINO.

Thus we all know who will be Sacrificed FIRST to ISIL or any in Military Conflict.

It is time to PRAY intensely for the entire U.S. Military.

It is time to PRAY intensely for the United States of America.

It is time to PRAY intensely for MUSLIM citizens world wide who will be Blamed for ISIL's actions and many of whom will be Falsely labeled as JIHADISTS.

It is time to PRAY intensely for PEACE in all of the Middle East, including ISRAEL.

It is time to PRAY intensely for Pres OBAMA, Pentagon Leaders and each member of CONGRESS that GOD will grant them all WISDOM.

I repeat.....

When dealing with such Cold-Blooded TERRORISTS as ISIL, Cooler Heads must Prevail amongst the ranks of American Leadership.

ISIL Leaders know the Middle East's Blueprint like the back of their hands and they are very Intelligent people, who have diligently Studied how the U.S. Military operates in a Combat situation.

To assume the U.S. Military can Defeat ISIL in a Combat situation in the Vast Middle East would be a Foolish Presumption, and an Act of GENOCIDE against U.S. Military Armed Forces.

ISIL wants to leads the U.S. Military into one Large, Deadly Booby-Trap.

Killing thousands & thousands of U.S. Military Troops is a JIHAD Dream for ISIL members.

ISIL has created a Different type of WAR in the Middle East which now requires the use of more U.S. Military INTELLIGENCE, versus just the use of more Boots-on-the-Ground.

Sources: CBS News; CNN; The Telegraph; Washington Post; Youtube


Thursday, October 22, 2009

White House Rejects Cheney's Criticism On Afghan War Strategy..."Stop Dithering!"

























(Former VP Dick Cheney criticizes Obama on Afghanistan. Former Vice President Dick Cheney accused President Barack Obama of “waffling” on sending more U.S. troops in Afghanistan and warned him to stop “dithering.” Frank Gaffney of the Center for Security Policy and Air America’s Ron Reagan discusses.)



(Pelosi on Obama’s approach to Afghanistan. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi speaks to NBC’s Andrea Mitchell. Watch Friday for more of the interview.)






White House rejects Cheney’s war criticism

The White House on Thursday forcefully rejected criticism from former Vice President Dick Cheney and other Republicans that President Barack Obama's Afghanistan decision is taking too long.

"What Vice President Cheney calls dithering, President Obama calls his solemn responsibility to the men and women in uniform and to the American public," White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said. "I think we've all seen what happens when somebody doesn't take that responsibility seriously."

Obama is nearing a decision on whether to significantly expand the U.S. war posture in Afghanistan by honoring a military request for thousands of additional forces. The decision had been expected as early as mid-August, when Obama's new war commander prepared a harsh assessment of deteriorating conditions in the 8-year-old conflict, and now is expected in what Gibbs calls "the coming weeks."

Weighing different options

Obama is also weighing with his national security team whether to focus more narrowly on al-Qaida terrorists believed to be hiding in Pakistan.

Top commander Gen. Stanley McChrystal's still-secret troop request outlines three options — from as many as 80,000 more troops to as few as 10,000 — but favors a compromise of 40,000 more forces, officials have told The Associated Press. There now are 67,000 American troops in Afghanistan, and 1,000 more are headed there by the end of December.

The previous top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Gen. David McKiernan, submitted a request for more troops that went unfulfilled by former President George W. Bush. Obama partly granted that request in March when he ordered an additional 21,000 U.S. troops to go to Afghanistan this year.

Cheney said in a speech Wednesday night that Obama needs to "do what it takes to win" and that "signals of indecision out of Washington hurt our allies and embolden our adversaries."

Taking a similar tack on Thursday, former GOP House Speaker Newt Gingrich criticized the administration during a speech in Fort Worth, Texas, suggesting Obama has projected confusion onto the Afghanistan conflict in his public statements.

Gibbs said such comments were curious "given the fact that an increase in troops sat on desks in this White House, including the vice president's, for more than eight months, a resource request filled by President Obama in March."

Democrats defend President

Other Democrats chimed in to defend the president, despite opposition among congressional Democrats to a major expansion of the U.S. war effort.

"Republicans have developed a troubling pattern of blaming President Obama for trying to fix all the problems that they created," said Sen. Jack Reed, D-R.I., a member of the Armed Services Committee.

Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn., also defended Obama, when asked about Cheney's criticism. "I think President Obama is entitled to take sufficient time to decide what our long-term role ought to be in Afghanistan," he said on MSNBC. "I want him to take the time to get it right."

Cheney had also taken issue with statements out of the White House that the Obama administration had to start from scratch to develop a strategy for a conflict begun in 2001, the first year of the Bush presidency.

The Bush administration presented to Obama's transition team the review of the Afghanistan war that it undertook just before leaving office and was asked to keep it under wraps, Cheney said. A White House spokesman, Tommy Vietor, later disputed that characterization and said the report was not kept under wraps.

Meanwhile, Obama worked Thursday on a strategy to prevent fraud from occurring in Afghanistan in its runoff presidential election set for Nov. 7.

In an hourlong videoconference from the White House Situation Room, Obama and other top advisers heard a briefing and recommendations from the U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan, Karl Eikenberry. Gibbs would not specify what steps the U.S. is taking with Afghanistan's Independent Election Commission to avoid the problems that marred the original election on Aug. 20.

Karzai to face Abdullah

President Hamid Karzai faces his main challenger, ex-Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah, in the runoff.

Obama is not necessarily going to put off his decision on whether to send more troops to Afghanistan until after the run-off election, as some — including Democratic Sen. John Kerry — have strongly suggested he do.

"It could be before the runoff. It might be after the runoff," Gibbs said.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Thursday he will prod NATO allies this week for more economic and security aid to Afghanistan while trying to sidestep the debate over more troops.

NATO nations have supplied 36,000 troops, and NATO officials have signaled they won't ask their nations to send more until Obama makes a move.

Gates said there are enough other topics to discuss with NATO allies during a defense chiefs' gathering in Bratislava, Slovakia, this week.

NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said the allies must do more to enable Afghan forces to eventually assume responsibility for security in their country.

NATO currently has 59 training teams working with the Afghan army. Alliance officials say they need the allies to come up with nine more to fulfill present plans that call for an expansion of the Afghan forces from the present 94,000 to 134,000. But if a future expansion plan boosting the Afghan army to 400,000 troops is approved, NATO will need a total of 103 training teams on the ground.

Blaming others?

Cheney said the Obama administration seems to be pulling back and blaming others for its own failure to implement the strategy it had embraced earlier in the year.

"The White House must stop dithering while America's armed forces are in danger," the former vice president said. "It's time for President Obama to do what it takes to win a war he has repeatedly and rightly called a war of necessity."

Cheney reserved some of his strongest words for the Obama administration's approach to what he calls "enhanced interrogation," saying that intelligence officers are being unfairly criticized for doing their jobs.

"I will tell you straight that I am not encouraged when intelligence officers who acted in the service of this country find themselves hounded with a zeal that should be reserved for America’s enemies," he said.

"And it certainly is not a good sign when the Justice Department is set on a political mission to discredit, disbar, or otherwise persecute the very people who helped protect our nation in the years after 9/11," Cheney continued. "We cannot protect this country by putting politics over security, and turning the guns on our own guys."

Cheney criticized Obama's decision to drop plans begun in the Bush administration for missile defense interceptors in Poland and a radar site in the Czech Republic, calling the move "a strategic blunder and a breach of good faith." The administration said it will instead pursue a higher-tech system that is also more cost-effective.

"Our Polish and Czech friends are entitled to wonder how strategic plans and promises years in the making could be dissolved just like that with apparently little if any consultation," he said. "President Obama's cancellation of America's agreements with the Polish and Czech governments is a serious blow to the hopes and aspirations of millions of Europeans."

Cheney said those who try to placate Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and accede to his wishes will get nothing in return but trouble.




View Larger Map

Sources: MSNBC, Google Maps

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Afghanistan Election Issues Could Delay Pres. Obama's US Troop Surge Strategy








































(Delaying Afghanistan strategy? Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., discusses whether the delay in the Afghanistan elections will affect the timing of President Barack Obama’s decision on troop deployments.)



(Pres. Obama applauds Afghan leader Karzai's decision to cooperate with the Election Runoff.)





View Larger Map

Sources: MSNBC, Google Maps

Thursday, September 24, 2009

McChrystal's Leaked Troop Request To Reach Gates By Week's End...Petraeus Approves His Strategy












































(As President Obama weighs alternatives to sending more U.S. troops into Afghanistan, an NBC News/WSJ poll shows support falling. "Meet the Press" moderator David Gregory discusses.)



McChrystal Request to Reach Pentagon by End of the Week

Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal's request for more troops and other resources to fund the expanded counterinsurgency campaign he has proposed in Afghanistan will arrive at the US Defense Department by the end of this week but will not be immediately turned over to the White House, a Pentagon spokesman said Wednesday.

"It is simply premature to consider additional resources until General McChrystal's assessment has been fully reviewed and discussed by the president and his team," spokesman Geoff Morrell said.

President Obama's national security team is still in the preliminary stages of considering the Aug. 30 assessment by McChrystal, the top U.S. and NATO commander in Afghanistan, that the war will probably be lost unless more troops are sent there within the next year.

Senior administration officials have said that McChrystal's report is only one "input" the White House is considering in a more wide-ranging review of strategy, including a possible shift from counterinsurgency in Afghanistan toward stepped-up attacks against al-Qaeda in Pakistan and elsewhere.

"There are many other considerations that we have to take into account," Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said on PBS's "NewsHour With Jim Lehrer" on Monday. "There are other assessments from very expert military analysts who have worked in counterinsurgencies that are the exact opposite" of McChrystal's.

Asked about the experts Clinton was referring to, State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said she was making the "broader point" that an ongoing assessment will "involve a range of views -- military, civilian and outsiders" and a "Red Team" to probe for weaknesses in official views.

Karl W. Eikenberry, the U.S. ambassador in Kabul, is preparing a separate assessment of Afghanistan's political future and the controversy surrounding the recent presidential election there. Although President Hamid Karzai has said he won, based on a tally by the country's electoral commission, international monitors are investigating allegations of widespread fraud.

Some administration officials have questioned whether the absence of a legitimate government in Afghanistan should lead to a full-scale reconsideration of the plan for major military and development efforts that Obama outlined in March.

Obama's determination not to be rushed in deciding the way forward has led to frustration within the military, where many argue that McChrystal's request -- and trying to reverse the momentum gained by the Taliban this year -- is necessary and urgent.

McChrystal, in an interview published on the New York Times Web site Wednesday, rejected reports of a rift between the military and administration civilians on the subject. Asked about rumors that he was considering resigning, which the Times said were being "whispered around the Pentagon," he said, "I have not considered resigning at all."

Although he warned against taking too long, McChrystal said that "a policy debate is warranted. We should not have any ambiguities, as a nation or a coalition."

Gen. David H. Petraeus, the head of U.S. Central Command, said Wednesday that he and the Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, Adm. Mike Mullen, had endorsed "General McChrystal's assessment" of the situation in Afghanistan. Petraeus spoke at a counterinsurgency conference at the National Press Club.

Morrell, in a briefing for reporters at the Pentagon, said administration discussions on Afghanistan were awaiting the return of Obama and other senior officials from the U.N. General Assembly meeting in New York and the Group of 20 summit in Pittsburgh this week. "Once he gets back to town," Morrell said of the president, "the discussions will resume in earnest . . . but without rushing it."

McChrystal compiled his report in two parts: the assessment sent to Washington late last month and the separate request for additional resources that Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates suggested he withhold until he was asked for it.

Morrell said Gates had not yet made up his mind whether he agreed that more troops should be deployed in addition to the 21,000 Obama has approved. Total U.S. troop strength in Afghanistan is scheduled to reach 68,000 by the end of the year.

Asked why it made sense for McChrystal to send a resource request based on a strategy that is still under review, Morrell said that any "adjustments" in the strategy may require "adjustments made in terms of what's required to achieve the mission." For the moment, he said, McChrystal "is operating under the assumption that his job is to defeat al-Qaeda and use [counterinsurgency] to do it."





A D.C. whodunit: Who leaked and why?

Bob Woodward’s Monday-morning exclusive on a 66-page report from Gen. Stanley McChrystal to President Barack Obama about Afghanistan policy was a rite of passage for the new administration: the first major national security leak and a sure sign that the celebrated Washington Post reporter has penetrated yet another administration.

White House officials greeted the leak with a grimace, but none suggested they’d begin a witch hunt for the leaker. Woodward is famous for his access to the principals themselves — he recently traveled to Afghanistan with National Security Adviser James Jones — and leak hunters couldn’t expect with confidence that they’d find themselves disciplining just an undisciplined junior staffer.

But inside the White House and out, the leak touched off another familiar Washington ritual: speculation about the leaker’s identity and motives.

This is a capital parlor game that, for the Obama administration, has some dire implications. Unless the West Wing somehow orchestrated an elaborate head fake — authorizing what looks at first blush like an intolerable breach of Obama’s internal deliberations — the Woodward story suggests deeper problems for a new president than a bad news cycle.

Woodward — like other reporters, only more so — tends to shake loose information when he can exploit policy conflicts within an administration. There is now a big one over a critical national security decision, along with evidence that some people who ostensibly work for Obama feel they can pressure him with impunity. It took several years within former President George W. Bush’s administration before deep personal and policy fissures became visible.

So who did it?

The simplest theory — and one most administration officials Monday were endorsing — is that a military or civilian Pentagon official who supports McChrystal’s policy put it out in an attempt to pressure Obama to follow McChrystal’s suggestion and increase troop levels in Afghanistan.

But not everyone in Washington is a believer in Occam’s razor, so all manner of other theories flourished.

There are believers in the reverse leak, in which the leak itself is meant to damage McChrystal’s position by inducing White House anger at the general. There’s the fake leak, in which the White House may have been trying to back itself into a corner. A former government official with ties to the Pentagon said the talk in the building was that a senior military official had given it to the reporter for his book on the Obama White House — not realizing it could end up in print sooner.

“That places the ball clearly in the president’s court,” former Clinton Defense Secretary William Cohen said, noting that Obama had already publicly placed his trust in McChrystal’s judgment.

“It’s an effort — whether by [McChrystal] or by somebody in the Pentagon or maybe the White House — to say, ‘You’ve asked the military to give you not what you want to hear but what you have to know. Now it’s up to you as commander in chief to decide if you think you have a better idea.’”

The leak is a shot across the bows, he said, of Vice President Joe Biden and of leading congressional Democrats who oppose a buildup in Afghanistan.

Another Clinton veteran with experience in national security matters was not so sure, however, that Obama wasn’t helped by a piece that lays the public ground for an inevitable troop escalation. “This thing has to have some airing and consideration by the public — so in the tactical sense, there’s a benefit to considering it,” the official said.

But some said all this speculation may be overthinking the matter. Many people in Washington, after all, are motivated by personal vanities as much as by policy convictions.

“It’s most likely someone who has or is cultivating a personal relationship with Bob Woodward and positioning himself to look good in Woodward’s next book,” said Matt Bennett, vice president at the Democratic-leaning think tank Third Way, echoing the views of many inside government and out.

The history of Woodward sources portrayed as heroes is long, including the likes of Colin Powell and, for a time, George W. Bush. But Woodward’s take on the Bush administration also changed dramatically with time, and some portrayed positively in his early books were savaged in the later ones.

Whatever the motive, the appearance of McChrystal’s report makes it more difficult for Obama to defer, through an extensive series of consultations, a decision over which side he will take in a debate over the recommendation of adding more soldiers and civilians to a more robust mission with the goal of giving Afghanistan — perhaps for the first time — a strong, functioning central government. The release follows a letter from a range of Obama’s usual critics — from neoconservative foreign policy thinkers to former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Bush adviser Karl Rove — pressing Obama to follow just that policy.

“The Pentagon hasn’t changed and there are a lot of people within the Pentagon who understand the strategic use of the leak,” said Heather Hurlburt, executive director of the Democratic-leaning National Security Network. One possibility you have to look at is this being leaked by someone who is in league with the neocon assault on Obama, where anything short of ‘all in’ is framed as weak and a defeat.”

In the larger sense, the document’s contents are completely unsurprising — McChrystal’s views were widely known, and the assessment just spells them out. But giving the document to a brand name like Bob Woodward, who has a flair for the dramatic, ensures big play in The Washington Post and broad pickup by other media.

“This leak would, by all appearances, be the act of someone who supports an increase in troop strength and resources,” said Kevin Kellems, a communications director for former Vice President Dick Cheney, who noted that “the power of Woodward going on page A1 is exceptional” in its ability to dictate to wire services and cable outlets, a vanishing power of the newspapers. “This is the act most likely of a civilian who is an advocate of this position and believes they were right to do this because lives were at stake.”

Third Way’s Bennett, whose group backs a bigger commitment in Afghanistan, said he thought the document would do McChrystal’s position more harm than good.

“It’s not going to pressure the president to go the way they want him to go,” he said. “It’s going to annoy people in the White House, and that’s never a good idea.”

Others argued that the White House itself benefits from the leak.

“It’s a helpful thing to have out in the ether for the White House,” said Dan Senor, a former spokesman for the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq, who said the report would help beat back criticism on the left. “I think the White House wants to convey how much pressure they’re under from the military,” he said, adding that he wouldn’t speculate on the source of the leak.

Others simply welcomed the fact that the leak might force a quicker decision on an urgent question.

“It at least, for the first time, gives people a tangible picture of what the recommended options are, and it to some extent forces the issue,” said Anthony Cordesman, a scholar at the Center for Strategic and International Studies who has been critical of an Afghan buildup. “The tendency in the White House is to try and slip this until health care and possibly the economy are taken care of, but nobody has that kind of time.”



Sources: Washington Post, Politico, MSNBC, Meet the Press, US Dept of Defense, Wikipedia

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Obama Admin Explores Alternative Afghan War Strategies








































Obama Is Considering Strategy Shift in Afghan War

(During his recent interview with "Meet the Press" Moderator David Gregory Pres. Obama states he is skeptical about sending more US Troops into Afghanistan.)




(Discussion on the review process for U.S. Gen. Stanley McChrystal's military assessment of Afghanistan.)




President Obama is exploring alternatives to a major troop increase in Afghanistan, including a plan advocated by Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. to scale back American forces and focus more on rooting out Al Qaeda there and in Pakistan, officials said Tuesday.

The options under review are part of what administration officials described as a wholesale reconsideration of a strategy the president announced with fanfare just six months ago. Two new intelligence reports are being conducted to evaluate Afghanistan and Pakistan, officials said.

The sweeping reassessment has been prompted by deteriorating conditions on the ground, the messy and still unsettled outcome of the Afghan elections and a dire report by Mr. Obama’s new commander, Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal. Aides said the president wanted to examine whether the strategy he unveiled in March was still the best approach and whether it could work with the extra combat forces General McChrystal wants.

In looking at other options, aides said, Mr. Obama might just be testing assumptions — and assuring liberals in his own party that he was not rushing into a further expansion of the war — before ultimately agreeing to the anticipated troop request from General McChrystal. But the review suggests the president is having second thoughts about how deeply to engage in an intractable eight-year conflict that is not going well.

Although Mr. Obama has said that a stable Afghanistan is central to the security of the United States, some advisers said he was also wary of becoming trapped in an overseas quagmire. Some Pentagon officials say they worry that he is having what they called “buyer’s remorse” after ordering an extra 21,000 troops there within weeks of taking office before even settling on a strategy.

Mr. Obama met in the Situation Room with his top advisers on Sept. 13 to begin chewing over the problem, said officials involved in the debate. Among those on hand were Mr. Biden; Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates; Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton; James L. Jones, the national security adviser; and Adm. Mike Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

They reached no consensus, so three or four more such meetings are being scheduled. “There are a lot of competing views,” said one official who, like others in this article, requested anonymity to discuss internal administration deliberations.

Among the alternatives being presented to Mr. Obama is Mr. Biden’s suggestion to revamp the strategy altogether. Instead of increasing troops, officials said, Mr. Biden proposed scaling back the overall American military presence. Rather than trying to protect the Afghan population from the Taliban, American forces would concentrate on strikes against Qaeda cells, primarily in Pakistan, using special forces, Predator missile attacks and other surgical tactics.

The Americans would accelerate training of Afghan forces and provide support as they took the lead against the Taliban. But the emphasis would shift to Pakistan. Mr. Biden has often said that the United States spends something like $30 in Afghanistan for every $1 in Pakistan, even though in his view the main threat to American national security interests is in Pakistan.

Mr. Obama rejected Mr. Biden’s approach in March, and it is not clear that it has more traction this time. But the fact that it is on the table again speaks to the breadth of the administration’s review and the evolving views inside the White House of what has worked in the region and what has not. In recent days, officials have expressed satisfaction with the results of their cooperation with Pakistan in hunting down Qaeda figures in the unforgiving border lands.

A shift from a counterinsurgency strategy to a focus on counterterrorism would turn the administration’s current theory on its head. The strategy Mr. Obama adopted in March concluded that to defeat Al Qaeda, the United States needed to keep the Taliban from returning to power in Afghanistan and making it a haven once again for Osama bin Laden’s network. Mr. Biden’s position questions that assumption.

Mrs. Clinton, who opposed Mr. Biden in March, appeared to refer to this debate in an interview on Monday night on PBS. “Some people say, ‘Well, Al Qaeda’s no longer in Afghanistan,’ ” she said. “If Afghanistan were taken over by the Taliban, I can’t tell you how fast Al Qaeda would be back in Afghanistan.”

At the time he announced his new approach, Mr. Obama described it as “a stronger, smarter and comprehensive strategy,” and said “to the terrorists who oppose us, my message is the same: We will defeat you.” The administration then fired the commander in Afghanistan, Gen. David D. McKiernan, and replaced him with General McChrystal, empowering him to carry out the new strategy.

But the Afghan presidential election, widely marred by allegations of fraud, undermined the administration’s confidence that it had a reliable partner in President Hamid Karzai. Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden already had raised doubts about Mr. Karzai, which were only exacerbated by the fear that even if he emerges from a runoff election, he will have little credibility with his own people.

“A counterinsurgency strategy can only work if you have a credible and legitimate Afghan partner. That’s in doubt now,” said Bruce O. Riedel, who led the administration’s strategy review of Afghanistan and Pakistan earlier this year. “Part of the reason you are seeing a hesitancy to jump deeper into the pool is that they are looking to see if they can make lemonade out of the lemons we got from the Afghan election.”

Representative Ike Skelton, Democrat of Missouri and chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, sent Mr. Obama a six-page letter arguing the case for more troops for General McChrystal. “There is no strategy short of a properly resourced counterinsurgency campaign that is likely to provide lasting security,” he wrote.

Mr. Obama now has to reconcile past statements and policy with his current situation.

“The problem for President Obama is he has made the case in the past that we took our eye off the ball and we should have stayed in Afghanistan,” said former Defense Secretary William S. Cohen. But now that he is in charge of the war, Mr. Cohen said, Mr. Obama is discovering “he doesn’t have much in the way of options” and time is of the essence.

Mr. Cohen added, “The longer you wait, the harder it will be to reverse it.”




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Sources: NY Times, MSNBC, Meet the Press, Google Maps

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Gen. McChrystal's Afghan War Review Creates Rift Among Ranks Of US Military Top Brass

































(During his recent interview with "Meet the Press" Moderator David Gregory Pres. Obama states he is skeptical about sending more US Troops into Afghanistan.)




(Discussion on the review process for U.S. Gen. Stanley McChrystal's military assessment of Afghanistan.)





General's Review Creates Rupture

Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal's grim assessment of the Afghanistan war has opened a divide between the military, which is pushing for an early decision to send more troops, and civilian policymakers who are increasingly doubtful of an escalating nation-building effort.

Senior military officials emphasized Monday that McChrystal's conclusion that the U.S. effort in Afghanistan "will likely result in failure" without an urgent infusion of troops has been endorsed by the uniformed leadership. That includes Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mike Mullen and Gen. David H. Petraeus, the head of U.S. Central Command and architect of the troop "surge" strategy widely seen as helping U.S. forces turn the corner in Iraq.

But before any decision is made, some of President Obama's civilian advisers have proposed looking at other, less costly options to address his primary goal of preventing al-Qaida from reestablishing itself in Afghanistan. Those options include a redirection of U.S. efforts -- away from protecting the Afghan population and building the Afghan state and toward persuading the Taliban to stop fighting -- as well as an escalation of targeted attacks against al-Qaida itself in Pakistan and elsewhere.

Pres. Obama's public remarks on Afghanistan indicate that he has begun to rethink the counterinsurgency strategy he set in motion six months ago, even as his generals have embraced it. The equation on the ground has changed markedly since his March announcement, with attacks by Taliban fighters showing greater sophistication, U.S. casualties rising, and the chances increasing that Afghanistan will be left with an illegitimate government after widespread fraud in recent presidential elections.

In television interviews Sunday, Pres. Obama said he would take his time in weighing McChrystal's recommendations and an anticipated formal request for more troops. "The first question is: Are we doing the right thing?" Pres. Obama said on CNN. "Are we pursuing the right strategy?"

The commander's report, administration officials said, is only one of many "inputs" the president is considering. Others include assessments from the State Department, the intelligence community and his White House advisers.

Pres. Obama's decision is complicated by a deepening domestic political divide and no guarantee of success whichever option he chooses. One observer, characterizing the president's dilemma at its most extreme, said: "He can send more troops and it will be a disaster and he will destroy the Democratic Party. Or he can send no more troops and it will be a disaster and the Republicans will say he lost the war."

Few lawmakers had seen McChrystal's closely held report before an unclassified version was published by The Washington Post on its Web site Sunday night. Their reactions were sharply divided along party lines, with many Republicans advocating full support for the military commander.

House Minority Leader John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) said in a statement that he was "deeply troubled . . . by reports that the White House is delaying action on the General's request for more troops" and was questioning the "integrated civilian-military counterinsurgency" Pres. Obama himself set in motion. "It's time for the President to clarify where he stands on the strategy he has articulated," Rep. Boehner said, "because the longer we wait the more we put our troops at risk."

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said that "any failure to act decisively in response to General McChrystal's request could serve to undermine the other good decisions the president has made" on Afghanistan.

But Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a Navy veteran of Vietnam who once led opposition to that war, praised Pres. Obama's deliberative pace.

"All the president is saying is that he wants to take the time to make sure this decision is not done like the Gulf of Tonkin" resolution, where "underlying assumptions aren't questioned," Kerry said. The 1964 joint congressional resolution, based on false information about North Vietnamese actions and adopted amid an anti-communist frenzy, authorized President Lyndon B. Johnson to use military force in Southeast Asia.

"You've got to figure out . . . what is the counterinsurgency mission," Kerry said. "The president has all the right in the world to properly vet that mission and define it. It may well be we'll all decide [McChrystal] is absolutely correct, and the mission he's defined is correct."

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who has positioned himself between the urgency expressed by military commanders and those calling for a reconsideration of the strategy, last week suggested that all involved take a "deep breath." He has told McChrystal to delay sending his formal request for additional resources until the policy discussion is further along.

But senior military officials have expressed growing frustration, while warning that delay could be costly. "Time does matter," said one military official. "The longer the situation deteriorates, the tougher to reclaim" the initiative against Taliban forces. Military and civilian officials agreed to discuss White House decision-making and Gen. McChrystal's report on the condition of anonymity.

This military official and others cautioned that any strategy revision that resulted in a pullback by U.S. and NATO forces would leave Taliban forces in uncontested control of territory and could lead to a return of civil war in Afghanistan, opening the door to reestablishment of al-Qaida sanctuaries there.

But some civilian officials believe that such a scenario is based on possibly faulty assumptions about who the Taliban insurgents are, what their aims may be, and whether some can be co-opted. If Pres. Obama's core objective is to prevent al-Qaida from returning to Afghanistan, this reasoning goes, it may not depend on defeating the Taliban. An equally viable policy, they argue, could include stepped-up, targeted attacks on al-Qaida's sanctuaries in Pakistan and convincing amenable Taliban fighters that it is in their best interests to keep al-Qaida out of Afghanistan.




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Sources: Washington Post, MSNBC, Meet the Press, NBC News, Politico, Whitehouse.gov, US Dept of Defense, Pentagon, NATO, Google Maps