North Carolina primary
Last updated Mar 15, 2016 at 11:39 PM ET
REPUBLICAN
Mar 1572 delegates
| 95% reporting | Delegates | Votes |
|---|---|---|
40.5%
433,081
| ||
36.7%
392,504
| ||
12.5%
133,636
| ||
7.7%
82,147
|
IN NOV 2016 IT'S GOING TO BE TRUMP vs HILLARY.
TRUMP WILL BRING IT. HE'S NOT AFRAID OF OBAMA, NOR THE CLINTONS.
Sources: AP, CBS News, Patch, WCNC, YouTube
Donald Trump beats back Ted Cruz surge. Kasich in third. Marco Rubio suspends campaign Tuesday night.
He'll likely finish third in North Carolina, but general election polling in the state helps John Kasich's argument if the race ends with a contested convention.
Donald Trump is the projected winnerin North Carolina, currently with more than 40 percent of the vote.
And, in the latest High Point University poll, Republican voters actually supported Trump by an even larger margin. But pollsters came away with a surprising answer in a general election match-up.
It was Kasich who fared best against Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical contest, winning with 53 percent support in the state to Clinton's 38 percent. Trump would beat Clinton with 49 percent of the vote to 42 percent.
That kind of math helps build an argument for John Kasich in a contested convention, says Martin Kifer, assistant professor of political science and director of the school's Survey Research Center.
UPDATE (9:56 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Trump Wins
Donald Trump is projected to win the North Carolina Republican Primary, according to the Associated Press.
Donald Trump continues to lead the field with 40 percent of the votes counted so far in the North Carolina Republican Primary. But, even in a loss, Ted Cruz still may be able to keep the race close to a split in the race for delegates.
The big states among Tuesday contests are winner-take-all states. North Carolina's 72 GOP delegates will be divided up based on a candidate's percentage of votes. So a close second for Cruz could keep the delegate distribution nearly even heading out of North Carolina.
UPDATE (8:17 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Rubio Struggles
Results continue to come in, with Trump maintaing a lead over.
A High Point University poll in early February had Trump leading in the state, but the big different was the rest of the first tier.
"Marco Rubio was in the pack in the 20s," says Martin Kifer, assistant professor of political science and director of the school's Survey Research Center.
Tonight, Rubio will likely finish fourth out of four.
UPDATE (7:50 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): First ResultsThe first results are coming in for North Carolina's Republican Primary. Polls have had Donald Trump leading in the state against challengers Ted Cruz, John Kasich and Marco Rubio.
UPDATE (7:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Polls Closing
Polls are closing at 7:30 p.m. in North Carolina. A projected winner may be called soon after. If not, it will be a good sign for Ted Cruz, who needs a close finish to negate delegates won by Donald Trump.
UPDATE (3:50 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Turnout
North Carolina Republican Primary voters are heading to the polls earlier this season — two months earlier.
And the primary couldn't come at a more decisive moment, as Donald Trump looks to cement his lead in the nominating race against challengers Ted Cruz, John Kasich and Marco Rubio.
That kind of power, and the excitement around some candidates, may drive turnout among North Carolina voters.
Voters crowded a polling place in Cape Fear, with wait times of at least an hour, according to the Star News.
A Lake Norman polling place outside of Charlotte reported turnout at 25 percent by lunchtime, according to the Charlotte Observer.
More than 700,000 had cast ballots in early voting before Primary Day, according to WXII.
UPDATE (2:05 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Down Ballot
North Carolina Republican Primary voters aren't just picking a presidential candidate from the four GOP nominees (Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich and Marco Rubio). There are a few more decisions that will have to be made going down the ballot.
Races for U.S. Senate and House, as well as six statewide races and a $2 billion statewide bond referendum are all on the ballot.
UPDATE (12:40 p.m., Tuesday, March 15): Delegate Math
Alone among the voting states Tuesday, North Carolina could offer a mathematical success for a strong second-place finish. There are 72 GOP delegates, but they'll be the only delegates handed out Tuesday night based on a candidate's percentage of votes.
So, a Trump victory puts another state in the "win" column, but a strong second place finish by Cruz would keep the delegate allocations nearly even. It also means that Kasich and Rubio should still walk away with some delegates from North Carolina, even if they lose everywhere else.
The poll crunchers at FiveThirtyEight predict Trump's North Carolina finish will be in the low 30s, but they note that Cruz hasn't been far behind in recent polls, potentially offering a tight finish.
Last Contest in the South
RALEIGH, N.C. — The last contest in the South will be decided Tuesday as North Carolina Republican Primary voters go to the polls.
With primary wins in every surrounding state, businessman Donald Trump is the frontrunner. But Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas is hoping for a close finish or outright win in North Carolina to draw some of the national attention focused in other states and on other candidates.
Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida is facing a tough battle in his home state that could end his presidential campaign. And Gov. John Kasich of Ohio appears ready for a win in his home state to propel him forward in the primary process.
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