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Monday, December 6, 2010

Bev Perdue's Approval Rating At 33%, Trails Pat McCrory For 2012

N.C. Republicans favor McCrory for Gov., Huckabee for President.

Even in an eight-candidate field of remote possibilities, Pat McCrory is the choice of his party faithful to repeat his challenge to Bev Perdue in 2012.

The race for President in the state, however, is, as most everywhere else, unclear, with Mike Huckabee barely ahead of Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich.

McCrory gets more than three times the support of the next candidate when usual
Republican primary voters in the Tar Heel State are asked who they want to be their
standard bearer in two years.

He pulls 37% in a slate of potential GOP gubernatorial primary candidates that includes current party chairman and former Raleigh mayor Tom Fetzer (12%), 5th-District Congresswoman Virginia Foxx (11%), 9th-District Congresswoman Sue Myrick (6%), former state senator and 2008 gubernatorial aspirant
Fred Smith (4%), 10th-District Congressman Patrick McHenry (3%), Labor
Commissioner Cherie Berry (3%), and incoming State Senate President Pro Tempore Phil
Berger (2%), with 22% preferring someone unnamed or not sure of their current

At the top of the ballot, Huckabee gets a quarter of the vote to Palin’s 21%, Gingrich’s 17%, Mitt Romney’s 10%, Ron Paul’s 7%, Tim Pawlenty’s 4%, John Thune’s 2%, and Mitch Daniels’ 1%, with 12% undecided or preferring another candidate.

Palin actually leads Huckabee, 27-24, among the 24% share of moderates, with Gingrich and Romney each at 12%, but Huckabee prevails overall because of his 26-20 advantage with the 72% who call themselves conservative. Gingrich is likewise boosted by his 19% with them.

“At this point, Pat McCrory could go unchallenged in the 2012 Republican primary to
face off against Bev Perdue.

He is already looking like the de facto nominee and can effectively spend almost the next two years raising money and his profile while Perdue governs,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

PPP surveyed 400 typical North Carolina Republican primary voters from November 19th
to 21st. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 4.9%.

Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

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Sources: Public Policy Polling, WCNC, Youtube, Google Maps

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