TRUMP LEADS HILLARY IN NEW RASMUSSEN POLLS; BLACK VOTERS SHOW STRONG SUPPORT (NOV 8, 2016)

TRUMP LEADS HILLARY IN NEW RASMUSSEN POLLS; BLACK VOTERS SHOW STRONG SUPPORT

VOTE ON OR BEFORE NOVEMBER 8, 2016:

VOTE LIKE AMERICA'S FUTURE DEPENDS ON IT.

LATEST RASMUSSEN POLL RESULTS.

Sources: Rasmussen Poll, Fox News, CBS News, Youtube


****** Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are dead even in the latest White House Watch survey.


The new national telephone and online survey shows Clinton and Trump each with 45% support among Likely U.S. Voters. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has fallen to a new low of three percent (3%), while Green Party candidate Jill Stein earns two percent (2%) of the vote.

Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

Clinton held a negligible 45% to 44% lead yesterday. She and Trump have been within two points or less of each other nationally all week in a survey with a +/- 2.5% margin of error.

In the latest survey, 88% of voters say they are now certain how they will vote. Trump leads 49% to 47% among these voters, with Johnson at three percent (3%) and Stein at one percent (1%). Clinton has the most to lose among voters who still could change their minds: She earns 49% in this group to Trump’s 30%, Johnson’s six percent (6%) and Stein’s 16%.

Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters.

The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 25-27, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

[Rasmussen Reports analysts Amy Holmes and Fran Coombs are available for interested media. Please call 732-776-9777 ext. 205 for interviews.]

Americans aren’t exactly upbeat about the economy and housing prices over the next year, but fewer expect a weaker economy in a year’s time compared to past years. Democrats are a lot more optimistic, though, than other adults are.

The economy remains the number one issue for all voters this election cycle, but Republicans are a lot more worried about national security than Democrats and unaffiliated voters are.

Clinton still leads among women, Trump among men. The Democrat has a sizable lead among those under 40, while her GOP rival remains ahead among their elders.
The older the voter, the more certain he or she is of how they will vote.

Trump appears to be growing his lead among whites, while Clinton is growing hers among blacks and other minority voters. But whites are more sure of their vote as of now than the others are.

Sixty percent (60%) of all voters think race relations have gotten worse since the election of the first black president in 2008. Just nine percent (9%) believe race relations are better now.

Speaking of President Obama, 89% of voters who Strongly Approve of the job he has done in office favor Clinton. Ninety-two percent (92%) of those who Strongly Disapprove of his job performance prefer Trump.

Ted Cruz was the first Republican hopeful to announce for the presidency 19 months ago. Clinton was the first Democrat in the race less than a month later. Seventy-one percent (71%) of all voters think the presidential campaign lasts too long.

Unlike in neighboring Utah, Republican-turned-Independent candidate Evan McMullin isn’t making much of an impact on the presidential race in Idaho.

Trump is calling for term limits on members of Congress even though his party currently controls both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Voters agree more strongly than ever with the need for congressional term limits.

Richard Burr Remains Comfortably Ahead Of Elaine Marshall: Rasmussen Poll

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate


Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr remains comfortably ahead of Democratic challenger Elaine Marshall in his bid for reelection in North Carolina.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters shows Burr enjoying his best showing to date, with 54% support to Marshall's 38% when leaners are included. One percent (1%) favor some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

These new findings move the race from Leans GOP to Solid GOP in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.

If leaners are not included, Burr holds a 51% to 36% lead over Marshall, North Carolina's longtime secretary of state. Last month, the Republican who is seeking a second six-year term in the Senate posted a 49% to 40% lead.

Burr has been ahead most of the year. Marshall pulled even temporarily in June, enjoying a bounce from her victory in a Democratic Primary runoff. But with the exception of the post-runoff poll, Burr's support has ranged from 48% to 52% all year, while Marshall has earned 32% to 40% of the vote in those same surveys.

However, just 59% of Burr supporters say they are already certain how they will vote in November, compared to 71% of Marshall voters.

While Burr had long been viewed as one of the most vulnerable GOP senators in this election cycle, Democratic leaders clearly are moving away from that point of view. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, in fact, is now shifting its hopes for pickups to the races in Kentucky and Missouri where Republicans are retiring from the Senate.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on September 8, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Burr draws 85% support from Republican voters in North Carolina, while just 66% of the state's Democrats currently back Marshall. The Republican leads among voters not affiliated with either party by more than 30 points.

Barack Obama edged John McCain 50% to 49% in the 2008 election to carry North Carolina, but just 44% of the state's voters now approve of the job he is doing as president. Fifty-five percent (55%) disapprove. This is in line with the job approval ratings Obama earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of North Carolina voters favor repeal of the new national health care law, while 35% oppose repeal. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 24% who are Strongly Opposed. These findings are comparable to voter attitudes nationwide.

But 52% of the state's voters say repeal of the health care law will be good for the economy.

As in other states around the country, voters in the Tar Heel State put economic issues far ahead on their list of concerns this election season. Seven percent (7%) of the state's voters rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, but 59% describe it as poor. Twenty-two percent (22%) say the economy is getting better; 51% believe it is getting worse.

Seventy-one percent (71%) say the country is in a recession.

Eighty-five percent (85%) know someone who is out of work and looking for a job. While 13% think the job market is getting better, 44% say it's worsening.

Burr is viewed favorably by 56% of North Carolina voters and unfavorably by 33%. This includes 22% with a Very Favorable opinion and 13% with a Very Unfavorable one.

Forty-six percent (46%) regard Marshall favorably, with 19% Very Favorable. Thirty-six percent (36%) hold an unfavorable opinion of her, including 14% Very Unfavorable.

Forty-four percent (44%) approve of the job Democratic Governor Beverly Perdue is doing, while 54% disapprove. These findings are unchanged from last month.

See toplines for other data from this survey. Full demographic data is available to Platinum Members only.

In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.

In North Carolina, Rasmussen Reports polled on three races during the 2008 campaign. In the race for president, Rasmussen polling showed McCain over Obama by a point, 50% to 49%. Obama ended up edging out McCain 50% to 49%. In the 2008 North Carolina Senate race, Rasmussen polling showed Kay Hagan defeating Elizabeth Dole 52% to 46%, and Hagan won 53% to 44%. Rasmussen Reports was the first to show Hagan leading Dole. In the governor's race, the final Rasmussen poll showed Pat McCrory leading Perdue 51%-47%. Perdue won 50% to 47%.

In the 2004 presidential race, Rasmussen polling in North Carolina showed Bush defeating Kerry 53% to 43%. Bush won the state 56% to 44%.

See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.

Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Arizona, Alabama, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Washington, and Wisconsin.


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Sources: Carolina Politics Online, McClatchy Newspapers, Youtube, Google Maps

Richard Burr Maintains Tight Lead Over Cunningham & Marshall (Polls)

Richard Burr Leads Both Potential N.C. Democratic Rivals in U.S. Senate Race


First-Term Republican U.S. Sen. Richard Burr is running ahead of N.C. Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and former N.C. State Sen. Cal Cunningham in North Carolina's Senate race as the attention the two Democrats received during the first round of their primary fight has begun to fade, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted June 4-5.

Marshall had beat Cunningham, who is the choice of National Democratic leaders to be the party's candidate, but did not get the necessary 40 percent of the vote to avoid a June 22 runoff.

Richard Burr leads Marshall by 46 percent to 39 percent with 16 percent undecided and runs ahead of Cunningham 46 percent to 35 percent with 19 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points.

A Rasmussen Reports poll, conducted June 3, gives Burr a somewhat bigger advantage.

In that poll, Burr leads Marshall 50 percent to 36 percent with 6 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided, and he runs ahead of Cunningham 47 percent to 35 percent with 7 percent preferring someone else and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points.

A week after the May 4 primary, when campaign ads were still fresh in voters' minds, the percentage of those in PPP's poll who did not know enough about the Democratic candidates to express an opinion about them was 41 percent for Marshall and 52 percent for Cunningham. In the PPP's poll, those numbers are back up to 62 percent for Marshall and 74 percent for Cunningham.

The last PPP poll, conducted May 8-10, showed Marshall and Cunningham tied. Since then, the third Democrat in the race, fundraiser and party activist Ken Lewis, endorsed Marshall. (Lewis had polled 16 percent in the primary compared to 36 percent for Marshall and 27 percent for Cunningham).

Burr's advantage appears to owe more to the weakness of the Democrats than his own popularity. Thirty-seven percent disapprove of his job performance compared to 38 percent who approve, with 28 percent undecided.

Asked to rate his performance on a scale of 1 to 9, with 9 being the highest, 43of voters percent graded him between 1 and 4, 34 percent rated him between 6 and 9, and 23 percent gave him a 5.




Richard Burr Extends Lead Over Cunningham & Marshall


Republican U.S. Sen. Richard Burr continues to hold a double-digit lead over his potential Democratic rivals, according to a new state-wide survey.

A new Rasmussen Reports survey shows Burr defeating Democrat Elaine Marshall by a 50-36 percent margin and defeating Democrat Cal Cunningham by a 47-35 percent margin, Rob Christensen reports.

Richard Burr has extended his lead from a month ago. Rasmussen found last month that Burr had a 48-40 lead over Marshall and a 50-37 percent lead over Cunningham.

The survey of 500 likely voters was conducted on June 3. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.

The survey also found that 59 percent of North Carolina voters favor repeal of the new health care law, while 34 percent would keep it.

The poll found that 56 percent favor state adoption of a tough immigration law like Arizona's.


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Sources: Facebook, McClatchy Newspapers, Politics Daily, Public Policy Polling, Rasmussen Reports, Google Maps

Rasmussen Poll: Richard Burr's Lead Over Democrats Increases

Rasmussen Poll: Burr Increases Lead Over Democrats



Republican U.S. Sen. Richard Burr has increased his lead in head-to-head match-ups against two Democratic candidates in a survey from Rasmussen Reports.

The survey, which was released today, was conducted Feb. 23. Rasmussen asked 500 likely N.C. voters to choose between Burr and Elaine Marshall, the Secretary of State and then Burr and Cal Cunningham, a Lexington lawyer.

When paired against Marshall, Burr received 50 percent compared to Marshall's 34 percent. Four percent picked another candidate and 12 percent were unsure.

Against Cunningham, Burr pulled 51 percent of the vote while Cunningham received 29 percent with 6 percent picking another candidate and 14 percent unsure.

In both cases, those results show a slight increase from Rasmussen's survey from a month before. It's not time for Burr to ready his election night speeches just yet.

As Rasmussen notes: "Any incumbent who polls below 50 percent at this point in an election cycle is
considered potentially vulnerable and no incumbent has been reelected to
the seat Burr holds since 1968."

The poll had a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.


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Sources: Rasmussen Poll, McClatchy Newspapers, Youtube, Google Maps

GOP Miracle Senate Win In Massachusetts? Brown's Ahead

Poll: Scott Brown Ahead Of Martha Coakley


Republicans have a very real chance at orchestrating a Massachusetts miracle in this month’s special Senate election to determine Ted Kennedy’s successor, at least according to a new Democratic poll out tonight.

The shocking poll from Public Policy Polling shows Republican state senator Scott Brown leading Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley by one point, 48 to 47 percent, which would mean the race is effectively tied.

Among independents, who make up 51 percent of the electorate in the Bay State, Brown leads Coakley 63 percent to 31 percent.

Just 50 percent of voters view Coakley favorably, while 42 percent viewing her unfavorably.

Brown, who began an advertising blitz this month, sports a strong 57 percent favorability rating, with just 25 percent viewing him unfavorably – very strong numbers for a Republican in the heavily Democratic state.

On the issue of health care, which Brown has emphasized that he would be the deciding vote against, 47 percent said they opposed the plan in Congress while 41 percent supported it.

A Rasmussen Reports survey from earlier this week had showed Coakley's lead down to 9 points, and in last night’s debate she had questioned the accuracy of those numbers, suggesting her margin of victory would in fact be larger.

The survey of 744 likely voters was conducted January 7-9 and had a margin of error of 3.6 percent.

In his analysis, pollster Tom Jensen noted that Coakley is suffering from a less-than excited Democratic electorate, a dynamic similar to the gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia that Democrats lost last year .

“The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said PPP pollster Dean Debnam.. “Martha Coakley’s complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable.”



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Sources: Politico, Rasmussen Polls, Public Policy Policy, Youtube, Google Maps